TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Thunder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Jazz, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,135,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,912,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,135,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 713 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz6c250,140$15,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,177.031,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Jazz12c235,268$28,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,269.3936359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz11c140,431$15,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,043.0951844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz29c90,667$26,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,139.831,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Jazz20c78,327$16,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,044.379336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Jazz10c60,424$5,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,842.4162347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Thunder76c52,786$39,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,840.125,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Jazz10c50,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007640.8%31 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Jazz11c40,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40016752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz10c39,360$3,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,936.042,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaba…51debacked Jazz13c38,453$5,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,121.7810947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jazz28c36,912$10,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,250.81,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Jazz3c34,062$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.031,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Jazz11c32,005$3,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,520.5520551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz9c25,930$2,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.2647028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Jazz10c24,750$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.564139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa28f…d25ebacked Jazz2c21,900$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc49…ffd6backed Jazz14c21,592$3,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.893250%16 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0026…1ed5backed Thunder79c20,000$15,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3006851.5%35 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Jazz14c18,287$2,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,648.941,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Jazz30c15,711$4,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,652.7439744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz11c15,200$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.991,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Jazz10c15,001$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.114243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Jazz0c14,733$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0264517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz23c14,408$3,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,306.511,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Thunder71c13,909$9,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,968.6716657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz0c12,811$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.998820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Jazz12c12,760$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.9616635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Jazz11c11,998$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.7621538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Jazz16c11,316$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77512151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Jazz26c11,315$2,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,923.412143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Thunder75c10,950$8,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,730.584761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Jazz10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37bc…84febacked Jazz15c9,326$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.762458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Jazz12c8,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004533.3%15 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Jazz11c8,010$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.119150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…964abacked Thunder63c7,553$4,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.2510059%59 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Thunder68c7,396$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,396.3914254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0504…481cbacked Jazz11c7,200$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Jazz21c6,511$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37219136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Jazz11c6,190$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.4495641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Jazz10c6,181$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.8738434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz19c6,131$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.562,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf76b…2251backed Jazz11c6,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Jazz16c5,956$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.2712541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Jazz13c5,621$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.1525146.2%116 W · 135 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5618…be67backed Jazz2c5,289$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.911353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00b…517cbacked Jazz25c5,227$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.12638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Thunder70c5,092$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.1622458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Jazz30c5,000$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.9842640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Jazz19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Jazz10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012531.2%39 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Jazz1c5,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5527917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz10c4,978$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.712,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Thunder79c4,862$3,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.2948347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz0c4,809$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.741,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Jazz15c4,740$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.9616335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Jazz11c4,737$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.0841652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Thunder60c4,614$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.081,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Jazz21c4,554$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.1628616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf6…3dd0backed Jazz13c4,438$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5891741.2%7 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick22cpaid+70.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Jazz10c4,184$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.1440035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Thunder68c4,174$2,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.126552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Jazz22c4,123$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.8712324.4%30 W · 93 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbf…5a09backed Jazz1c4,039$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Thunder71c4,033$2,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.491,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz10c4,003$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.950838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Jazz42c3,970$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.878043.8%35 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Jazz11c3,775$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41532827.4%90 W · 238 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jazz11c3,636$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Jazz16c3,502$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.4234456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Jazz4c3,188$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.928142%34 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Thunder51c3,140$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.8615547.1%73 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Jazz65c3,081$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006758.2%39 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x816b…d69dbacked Jazz35c3,006$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.1924752.6%130 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Jazz10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Jazz29c3,000$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87337944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Jazz10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031538.1%120 W · 195 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Jazz17c2,962$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.4246940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe8…fe1abacked Jazz12c2,900$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3489341.9%39 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x095c…4e88backed Jazz7c2,876$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2132166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Jazz18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz2c2,753$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.348783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked Thunder57c2,743$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.8612257.4%70 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Jazz11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020728.5%59 W · 148 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1656…6c04backed Jazz33c2,721$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Jazz18c2,704$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Thunder52c2,677$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.419531.3%61 W · 134 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe25…df0abacked Jazz10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507128.2%20 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Thunder3c2,500$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,42029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz10c2,481$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.094,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Thunder55c2,442$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.027561.3%46 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56fe…74dbbacked Jazz10c2,427$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2453429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2002…4cd1backed Jazz11c2,381$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Jazz13c2,362$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Thunder79c2,333$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.425954.2%32 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Jazz13c2,313$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Jazz14c2,214$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3107140.8%29 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.