NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17efba3db1913e7d1bc3e01aff8ea1ae6eac308c15d2c1d10d391d6ecdbb508e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Thunder, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 47c | 26,198$12,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,392.04 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Thunder | 49c | 20,338$10,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,009.15 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Jazz | 56c | 20,101$11,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,838.93 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Jazz | 51c | 14,154$7,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,892.15 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Jazz | 54c | 10,900$5,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,013.99 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 51c | 10,298$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,054.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Thunder | 49c | 7,188$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.04 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Thunder | 46c | 6,445$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.78 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Jazz | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Jazz | 49c | 5,252$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.54 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz | 53c | 4,677$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.16 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 45c | 4,558$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.06 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Thunder | 52c | 4,328$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.16 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Jazz | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Thunder | 21c | 3,278$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz | 52c | 2,958$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.24 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Jazz | 48c | 2,766$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.85 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…098ebacked Thunder | 49c | 2,755$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Thunder | 52c | 2,709$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.32 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Jazz | 52c | 2,625$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.86 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 43c | 2,440$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc946…1825backed Jazz | 51c | 2,425$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.31 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 49c | 2,140$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.33 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 53c | 2,112$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.35 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder | 51c | 1,770$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.81 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 49c | 1,578$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.25 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Thunder | 50c | 1,574$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Thunder | 44c | 1,533$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.19 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 48c | 1,443$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.78 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Jazz | 48c | 1,300$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Thunder | 46c | 1,059$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.13 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jazz | 51c | 1,030$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.77 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Thunder | 49c | 999.88$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.94 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 47c | 977$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Thunder | 50c | 925.47$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.74 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 48c | 905.3$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.76 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Thunder | 45c | 869.44$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.3 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jazz | 50c | 620$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.13 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Thunder | 47c | 617.22$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.21 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder | 46c | 606.11$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.78 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…6ab2backed Thunder | 48c | 593.72$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…51c9backed Thunder | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Jazz | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Thunder | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Thunder | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Thunder | 47c | 426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Jazz | 51c | 396$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Jazz | 47c | 385$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.05 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Thunder | 47c | 384$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.48 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Thunder | 46c | 375$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.25 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 48c | 357.79$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Thunder | 48c | 356.6$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Thunder | 56c | 356.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Thunder | 31c | 346.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Thunder | 51c | 332.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.82 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Thunder | 49c | 320$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Jazz | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Jazz | 52c | 276.52$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Jazz | 57c | 263$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Thunder | 35c | 252.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Thunder | 45c | 231.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Thunder | 46c | 224.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.81 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Jazz | 75c | 222$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Jazz | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jazz | 49c | 206.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Jazz | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Jazz | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…fd21backed Jazz | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Jazz | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Thunder | 55c | 183$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Thunder | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Thunder | 50c | 169.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Thunder | 49c | 162.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Jazz | 47c | 158$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Thunder | 47c | 156.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Jazz | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Jazz | 47c | 136.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Thunder | 47c | 132.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Jazz | 49c | 121.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 48c | 118.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Jazz | 44c | 103.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Thunder | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…45c3backed Jazz | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Thunder | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Jazz | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 26c | 96.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Jazz | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Jazz | 59c | 91.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Jazz | 53c | 88.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Jazz | 51c | 85.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Jazz | 48c | 70.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Jazz | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…ed5cbacked Jazz | 51c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Jazz | 24c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Jazz | 48c | 64.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Jazz | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 49c | 59.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Thunder | 46c | 57.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Jazz | 48c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)this page
- Jazz vs. ThunderThunder won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 241.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.