TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 241.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Over49c16,811$8,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,584.591,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c9,409$4,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,793.144,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Under50c8,970$4,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,446.8721143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under52c7,615$3,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,963.9687750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c5,563$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.639,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over51c3,957$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.752,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7d2…435abacked Under41c2,762$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c2,701$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.32,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under45c2,339$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.2650347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c1,997$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.464,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over51c1,950$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under49c1,880$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.249938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over49c1,730$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.623,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c1,523$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.931,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c1,519$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over42c1,449$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.0631144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under56c1,350$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Over6c1,211$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.0535326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c1,200$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.554,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under52c988.01$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.172,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under55c928.72$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.226546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under54c871$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.071,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over60c825.97$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.2419232.8%63 W · 129 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Under9c760.38$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.716036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c748.36$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.133,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under52c700$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Under73c686$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under51c625$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.7580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over70c574.91$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.861,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c546.9$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.648,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Under40c463.4$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.540952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20428751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Under10c310.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.889515.8%15 W · 80 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Over47c280$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.47341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under56c246.97$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.33,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c236.15$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.883,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under47c203$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.352,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under46c178.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.442,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over54c175$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.51,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Under50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8549852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.834451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c155$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.655,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Over47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9423948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over47c148$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.441,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Under51c117.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6034050.3%171 W · 169 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over51c117.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0447856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4955533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over46c98.89$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9493849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under46c86.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1838347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Over48c83.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8511348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Over44c82.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2619242.7%82 W · 110 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.462349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.471747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b1c…dc02backed Under14c78.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116245.2%28 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Under73c70$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.34959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Under49c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.53551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.831754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.834254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under54c58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.326045%27 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over35c54.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.762,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f15…ae15backed Under51c52.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.233,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over47c48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4434053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Under47c42.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc212…18b9backed Under49c40.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208737.9%33 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Over53c40.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.086454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe39e…fcf3backed Under53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.21741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Under49c39.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.69943.4%43 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over52c36.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.81,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under46c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.561,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Under51c35.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.071764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under51c33.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1159141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Under46c33.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.419346.6%90 W · 103 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf8…2540backed Over62c32.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.322254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under48c31.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9717747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over49c30.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.354351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.328943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.927353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.927150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Over40c27.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.612727.6%35 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Under56c27.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.213844.2%61 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under52c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4763745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x207b…df20backed Under46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.59642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7231250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7226648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7225150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over46c22.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0650948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Under52c22.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.435850%29 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked Under54c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.343948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c1…b554backed Over50c20.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+27.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.