NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe522a6631327669dce1ff6175fb06145535920a95d5ecbb127e0863ea5f8d5a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Thunder, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $591,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $604,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $591,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 51c | 520,473$264,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264,127.75 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz | 49c | 250,000$122,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,500 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Jazz | 49c | 107,798$52,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,977.02 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Jazz | 50c | 68,266$34,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,215.61 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz | 50c | 20,288$10,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,144 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jazz | 49c | 20,020$9,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,110.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Thunder | 51c | 15,000$7,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,590.3 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz | 50c | 12,500$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Jazz | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 51c | 10,422$5,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,082.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Jazz | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Jazz | 57c | 7,028$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.16 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Jazz | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 49c | 4,628$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz | 51c | 3,927$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.52 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 49c | 3,731$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.22 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Thunder | 46c | 3,402$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…bc6dbacked Jazz | 51c | 3,008$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Jazz | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Jazz | 50c | 2,040$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Jazz | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Jazz | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jazz | 50c | 1,282$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 46c | 1,273$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.85 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 40c | 1,174$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Jazz | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.57 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Jazz | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Jazz | 51c | 978.35$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.39 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…ea4abacked Jazz | 50c | 768.37$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.4 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 31c | 767.97$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.07 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder | 49c | 611.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Jazz | 50c | 520.58$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.29 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Jazz | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Thunder | 44c | 418$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.92 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Thunder | 45c | 418$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Jazz | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Jazz | 52c | 400$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…6f35backed Jazz | 51c | 381.09$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Jazz | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Thunder | 47c | 289.31$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Jazz | 52c | 275.85$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.32 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 49c | 235.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Thunder | 43c | 217.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Thunder | 43c | 210.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Jazz | 48c | 209.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Jazz | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Thunder | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Jazz | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Jazz | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 463 | 48.4%224 W · 239 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Jazz | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Jazz | 63c | 164.62$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Jazz | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Thunder | 24c | 132.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Thunder | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Thunder | 48c | 120.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…6d7dbacked Jazz | 48c | 117.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Jazz | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Jazz | 50c | 104.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Jazz | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Thunder | 44c | 100.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Jazz | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Jazz | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Jazz | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Jazz | 55c | 81.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Jazz | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Jazz | 55c | 74.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Thunder | 46c | 69.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Jazz | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jazz | 55c | 58.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Jazz | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Jazz | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Jazz | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Jazz | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Jazz | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jazz | 53c | 45.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9899…a7f5backed Jazz | 50c | 41.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Thunder | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Jazz | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Jazz | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…bd0bbacked Thunder | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.4wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Jazz | 54c | 38.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Jazz | 51c | 37.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Jazz | 38c | 36.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Jazz | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Jazz | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…c141backed Jazz | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Thunder | 45c | 29.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Jazz | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Jazz | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Jazz | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Jazz | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Jazz | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c4…3fd8backed Thunder | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…09dabacked Jazz | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…e11bbacked Jazz | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce34…ce40backed Thunder | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Jazz | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)this page
- Jazz vs. ThunderThunder won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 241.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.