NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x010bf080da8a46346b10e73384a0fd15220bdde95b89d0105bc9a144d7da59c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 56c | 29,077$16,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,663.33 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 44c | 15,429$6,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,789.74 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 8,842$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.34 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 7,850$3,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 56c | 6,871$3,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.9 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 56c | 6,374$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.55 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 3,564$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.81 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 53c | 2,537$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.62 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 2,359$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.62 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 2,250$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.75 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 2,059$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 2,043$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.58 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 43c | 1,901$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.04 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 59c | 1,536$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.93 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 51c | 1,527$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.23 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 1,485$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.31 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 54c | 1,141$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.8 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 58c | 894.12$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.94 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 50c | 800.5$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.73 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 44c | 750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 44c | 700$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 45c | 625.86$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 54c | 577.13$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.13 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 54c | 485.81$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.32 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 47c | 438.55$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.27 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Under | 42c | 425$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 43c | 418$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 44c | 400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 398$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.72 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under | 47c | 333$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…98e1backed Under | 40c | 286.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 77c | 266$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.62 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 208.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 182$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 44c | 166.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 46c | 102.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 53c | 98.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 47c | 90.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 57c | 81.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 47c | 79.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 52c | 67.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 56c | 65.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 55c | 63.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Under | 45c | 58.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Under | 44c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Under | 42c | 49.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 50c | 48.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 53c | 44.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 45c | 38.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Under | 52c | 38.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 44c | 35.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 44c | 32.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 47c | 31.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 48c | 31.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Under | 48c | 26.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 56c | 23.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 55c | 22.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5this page
- Jazz vs. ThunderThunder won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 241.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.