NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x390729028f0e1c8e024720eabec2cb76daac2f2e5615ea5322978d83f294bec1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 50c | 162,125$81,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,000 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 50c | 134,268$67,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,134 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 52c | 16,000$8,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,680.85 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 11,873$5,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,990.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 48c | 10,542$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060.16 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 48c | 9,650$4,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,632 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Over | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 7,407$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.21 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 52c | 4,417$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 56c | 1,776$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 53c | 1,610$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.14 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 1,364$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.79 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 1,127$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 54c | 1,124$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.78 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 895.74$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.87 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 886$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Under | 49c | 723.33$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.93 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 51c | 626.1$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.1 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 555.84$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 38c | 486.57$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.59 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 46c | 418$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.72 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Over | 46c | 418$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.72 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 52c | 393$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.05 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…6f35backed Over | 51c | 370.36$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 51c | 328.96$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.97 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 310.66$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.44 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 70c | 284.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820f…0ddcbacked Under | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 10c | 183.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.2 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 50c | 181$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 49c | 172.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 50c | 138.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 31c | 105.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 54c | 102.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…9fdcbacked Under | 56c | 100.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 47c | 96.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 54c | 94.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Under | 51c | 92.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 51c | 84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Over | 47c | 80.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Under | 57c | 74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 45c | 50.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…f634backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 46c | 45.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…9a78backed Under | 58c | 43.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 47c | 41.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 58c | 40.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…e383backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 45c | 30.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…1b0bbacked Over | 66c | 30.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed Under | 51c | 29.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Over | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 58c | 26.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 51c | 21.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 57c | 20.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 57c | 20.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 242.5this page
- Jazz vs. ThunderThunder won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.