TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bbf…5a09

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$460.04
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$26.73
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$65.55
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$38.25
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$406.72
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.9%+$93.86
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$324.57
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$192.39
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$556.09
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+84.4%+$58.07
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+218.8%+$606.71
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.3%+$56.39
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+169.1%+$21.2
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$36.96
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.06
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$37.39
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30.32
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.69
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.42
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.22
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.41
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+296.6%+$87.02
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$31.91
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.31
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.6
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.69
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.15
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+155.6%+$44.62
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+70.4%+$10.16
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.04
AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.66
AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.18
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-84.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.94
Will SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50.51
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.55
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$66.97
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.66
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+35.5%+$6.42
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$38.33
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.21
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.92
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+124.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$40.11
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+95.2%+$91.7
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+223.4%+$63.71
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$63.45
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winnerbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$37.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Utahbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.