Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69deb722ca45728c97f28d7d8ca9fa3f1be98d4b3c416dc277d5336e749a45f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 4,407$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.24 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Over | 77c | 3,088$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.35 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 22c | 1,719$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.08 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 57c | 1,593$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.29 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under | 40c | 1,012$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 55c | 774.72$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.85 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 21c | 732.43$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.66 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 660.22$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Over | 47c | 633.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.77 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 19c | 618.04$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 65c | 526.68$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.68 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 19c | 521.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 62c | 508.12$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.77 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Under | 40c | 498.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 27c | 474.64$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Over | 78c | 319.23$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 74c | 301.69$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 35c | 250.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Under | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 187.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 22c | 184.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1d…bb61backed Over | 79c | 152.63$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 24c | 143.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…5baabacked Over | 79c | 131.33$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 22c | 128.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Over | 78c | 127.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 66c | 115.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 51c | 108.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 53c | 108.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Over | 77c | 108$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 38c | 98.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 36c | 95.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 46c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Over | 55c | 87.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 32c | 79.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 23c | 73.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 65.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Under | 39c | 63.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 77c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Over | 78c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…60cbbacked Over | 77c | 43.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…511fbacked Over | 80c | 43.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…1fc1backed Over | 79c | 42.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 68c | 40.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 55c | 39.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…96ecbacked Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…265ebacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 61c | 32.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 77c | 32.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 77c | 32.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Under | 31c | 32.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 63c | 31.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 67c | 29.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…99d2backed Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbf…5a09backed Over | 59c | 24.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Over | 47c | 23.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…96acbacked Over | 79c | 19.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 19.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 72cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…1596backed Over | 80c | 14.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 79c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.