TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$670,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$675,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $670,696 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over53c535,503$283,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,686.633930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under47c182,677$85,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,858.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under47c150,000$70,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,50024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under47c100,000$47,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,00027750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c40,261$18,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,878.061,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cd2…e11bbacked Under0c30,990$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c29,877$14,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,042.172,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Over52c21,176$11,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,164.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+99%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c17,500$8,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,22535652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Over46c11,000$5,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,934.994841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdacd…a083backed Under48c8,663$4,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,158.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under47c6,064$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.312466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Under48c5,931$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,847.031040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Under47c5,757$2,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700.644146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Under47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3502556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c3,457$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.986,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under47c3,199$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.3539156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07fc…7ac6backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over54c2,671$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.481,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Over55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.992552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under47c2,379$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.1372249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over53c2,358$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.493735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c2,335$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.314,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c2,250$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.7921056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over56c2,095$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.814456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Under52c1,930$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Over53c1,698$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.411844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under51c1,157$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.5317744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under9c1,052$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.686520%13 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+165.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48021656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Over52c961.14$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.1410737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over41c903.74$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.5124158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under47c895.12$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.171145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Under48c856.96$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.341030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under48c844$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.123633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a5f…4b52backed Under66c821.01$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.534671.7%33 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over31c708.37$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.1651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Under47c700$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under53c567.42$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.073164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under51c527.55$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26916955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over49c514.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.5530050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under47c501.16$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.591,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Under62c500$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.633542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under43c456.06$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.16137.7%23 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under49c420$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.819357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over49c410.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.4330645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecc2…6d7dbacked Under48c400.32$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18065557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17660557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3620054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under38c370.86$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.643241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over52c357.18$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6310051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12921839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14159958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13237557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x678b…beafbacked Over53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.022128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under65c267.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9496645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over48c264.13$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7558445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under44c240$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.637554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over54c236$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.971,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x498e…f5c5backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ace…bb93backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Under48c205.06$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.433447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e1f…f3c4backed Over53c188.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Under57c184.57$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.043467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under48c178.59$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.77450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb378…ce53backed Under48c178.53$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under56c173.7$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.172334.8%8 W · 15 L-5.4wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-37%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under45c163.45$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5542048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.51,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over54c154$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.842955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.536758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.53847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227b…e40fbacked Under54c148.77$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.04333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under52c145.72$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6257744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over41c131.22$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7420931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb018…8f4bbacked Under59c125.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.961546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec8…4143backed Under40c122.71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5435056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.429057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.828359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.832158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over42c119.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.296647%31 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under48c114.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab9…1437backed Over52c108.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.963060%18 W · 12 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+34.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over33c107.55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9789152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a39…031abacked Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4712047.5%57 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.92152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4429657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.