Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4361febbc4dd02f05bd0791eb6968e0f716e1f12b0377ccd9f5406bb3be466f

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $31,680
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,178

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,680 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x55a1…db28backed Yes	58c	10,000$5,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,199.99	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked No	42c	6,850$2,877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,877	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No	42c	2,821$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,189.82	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	41c	2,138$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870.35	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No	41c	1,110$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.72	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	59c	1,096$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.83	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No	42c	1,039$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.5	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+51%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	18c	695.81$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568.96	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes	58c	517.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.24	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+3.6wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No	42c	501.56$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.66	144	56.3%81 W · 63 L	+13.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No	42c	457.03$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.84	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes	60c	433.33$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.33	135	52.6%71 W · 64 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes	59c	423.73$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.73	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Yes	59c	349.98$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.39	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	59cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No	64c	347.91$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.07	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Yes	60c	333.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-4.5wins	-0.17per pick	61cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes	58c	212.12$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.67	181	39.2%71 W · 110 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes	53c	189.97$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.29	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes	58c	160$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.2	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes	43c	157.99$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.33	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed No	40c	149.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	120	60%72 W · 48 L	+6.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Yes	43c	130$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.9	412	60.2%248 W · 164 L	+22.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed No	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Yes	59c	112.44$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.1	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No	48c	109.31$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	100	51%51 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	180	52.2%94 W · 86 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa57…1e6bbacked Yes	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-5.2wins	-0.29per pick	57cpaid	-54%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No	41c	95.31$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.08	518	47.3%245 W · 273 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No	42c	90.17$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.87	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d1…a358backed Yes	59c	85.85$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.55	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93c7…3613backed Yes	60c	83.58$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.43	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Yes	60c	80$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80fc…cc55backed No	56c	75$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes	31c	69.89$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.29	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes	56c	59.99$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	139	51.1%71 W · 68 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Yes	62c	55$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.7	241	58.1%140 W · 101 L	+34.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Yes	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Yes	58c	51.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f3…7929backed Yes	59c	50.85$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.85	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe513…3328backed No	73c	50.4$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.79	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-4.6wins	-0.39per pick	55cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfee2…174fbacked No	42c	47.39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes	56c	44.89$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.89	144	63.9%92 W · 52 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes	58c	43.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	222	44.1%98 W · 124 L	+19.0wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc022…3da2backed Yes	59c	42.37$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.37	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	51cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cce…ebfebacked No	42c	42$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3a…d5b0backed Yes	56c	40.27$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.72	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd8f…9a78backed Yes	60c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked Yes	58c	39.99$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Yes	58c	39.66$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.66	184	49.5%91 W · 93 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…479dbacked Yes	56c	35.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.77	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+55%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed No	42c	35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No	56c	34.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.56	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	-7.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked No	58c	34.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	66cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdeaa…b14bbacked Yes	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	317	46.1%146 W · 171 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	232	20.7%48 W · 184 L	-12.5wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd22…7025backed Yes	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No	55c	33.89$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.64	209	31.6%66 W · 143 L	-11.3wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-5.3wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-18%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbce1…5555backed Yes	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe900…7937backed Yes	59c	32.95$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.51	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60a6…7ed2backed No	42c	31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.02	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Yes	59c	30.46$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.49	112	65.2%73 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No	46c	30.02$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes	47c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.76	282	46.1%130 W · 152 L	-12.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes	58c	25.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.86	556	54.9%305 W · 251 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes	55c	25.65$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.54	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked No	42c	24$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes	58c	23.33$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes	57c	22.81$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.81	129	48.1%62 W · 67 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	67c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…ceeabacked Yes	58c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes	58c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	170	47.6%81 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…8c89backed Yes	60c	19.02$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.61	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No	71c	15.07$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event