TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3e50…7a6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
428
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT12948.1%62 W · 67 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$64.97
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$163.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$97.71
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.9
Will Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$19.87
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$159
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+488.2%+$73.24
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$70.36
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$35.34
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT9450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Nikolay Veretennikov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Pat Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$283
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Bryczek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gerald Meerschaert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Vince Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Adrian Luna Martinetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Ryan Spann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.82
UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$17.56
Will Trump dance during UFC 327?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.46
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.48
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.08
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Patricio Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.26
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.92
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Guilherme Pat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.66
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Dione Barbosa (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Dione Barbosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$55.08
UFC Fight Night: Kai Kamaka III vs. Dakota Hope (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kai Kamaka III · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$60.91
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yousri Belgaroui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$54.73
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$32.14
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+116.8%+$174
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$71.58
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+122.3%+$149.15
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+153.8%+$61.72
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$67.02
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+26%+$178.78
Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
alon called coin FDV above $20M one day after the call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
alon called coin FDV above $1M one day after the call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+65.2%+$101.11
Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$157.68
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$91.09
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+97.4%+$99.37
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.1%+$26.1
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$56.5
Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$246.17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$107.71
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+121.6%+$212.85
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$92.14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.64
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$22.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$68.33
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$369
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$511.55
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+395.3%+$1,051.39
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$80.56
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$72.93
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$178.94
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Fact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT3151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.83
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$60.37
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$118.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+203%+$51.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+143.9%+$35.98
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+163.2%+$40.79
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+112.8%+$23.68
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Villarreal CF vs. FC København: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.03
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+244.8%+$29.38
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.88
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+100%+$12
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+243.7%+$54.65
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$42.37
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$33.85
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
Will "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will "11.22.63" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Will "Trump" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+64%+$32
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29.54
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.1
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+132.6%+$17.23
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+153.7%+$19.98
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.21
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 22 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+58%+$286.94
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.59
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $90–$100 on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$75.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$123.86
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$118.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$891.77
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.4%+$48.52
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+66.5%+$13.29
Will Marc Anthony perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.6%+$46.56
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.03
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.17
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.01
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$29
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-40.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-67.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$139.5
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+244.8%+$73.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+185.7%+$20.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$85.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$69.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+53.8%+$29.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37%+$37.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$11.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+25%+$3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 21-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.