TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,702,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,702,468 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 606 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes54c554,991$299,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299,929.7116040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No47c452,590$213,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239,571.0917557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No46c136,550$62,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,736.977753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Yes52c100,000$52,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,0002040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No47c100,000$47,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,999.993644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Yes53c94,340$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0006857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes53c92,395$48,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,966.388940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No46c87,746$40,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,652.351750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No47c70,000$32,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,099.963557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No45c62,222$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,222.235941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Yes54c52,165$28,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,169.035658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c39,619$21,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,047.811,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes52c24,981$12,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,893.562,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes53c22,208$11,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,770.2485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c21,837$10,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,735.432,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No47c17,732$8,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,397.963060%18 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+59%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No46c16,957$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,156.831770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes52c16,000$8,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,360.8535652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes53c15,000$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,9503452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No46c12,501$5,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,798.434748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No47c11,804$5,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,256.112847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25f1…9d5ebacked No46c11,000$5,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9401421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Yes55c10,996$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes49c9,500$4,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,614.9850644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No46c9,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,86013444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes54c9,000$4,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,86013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No46c8,126$3,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,358.041,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c8,029$3,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,088.176,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes53c7,628$4,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,042.681,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eed…64c2backed Yes55c7,321$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No45c7,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8509272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No46c7,000$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.915748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No46c6,369$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.266550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No45c5,825$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,198.072,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked No46c5,555$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.72665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.6wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No47c5,183$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,746.983256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes40c5,141$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.314,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Yes45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2503855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,75033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked No46c4,785$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,583.782548%12 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Yes54c4,733$2,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.222540%10 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No47c4,500$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40516050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No47c4,444$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.5424146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.836354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No47c4,162$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.4115944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No45c4,100$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2356550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes54c3,864$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.5915534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x968d…6947backed No46c3,707$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.78475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No47c3,487$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.234163.4%26 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+50%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes46c3,390$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.125225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No46c3,333$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.8218259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62025544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes54c2,778$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50049254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed No46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3502763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Yes53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3251030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No47c2,300$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2191,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes53c2,274$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.9949544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Yes53c2,180$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No49c2,140$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.41376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.32per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Yes53c2,128$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1282070%14 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No46c2,100$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No47c2,029$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.181,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Yes52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.994548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes44c1,957$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.7210053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes52c1,952$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.3853344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes53c1,886$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5812949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed No47c1,660$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.571546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No45c1,600$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87610951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2b…34e4backed No49c1,600$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816875%6 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+99.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No45c1,500$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.9913151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No45c1,375$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.9915949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes52c1,346$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.215442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c1,287$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.821,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No47c1,284$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.9275850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…695abacked Yes27c1,261$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked No46c1,213$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.077742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes51c1,200$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61719735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…dddabacked Yes52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked No47c1,189$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.352475%18 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+63.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes54c1,171$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.2484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes53c1,090$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.756737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes55c1,047$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.8530143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb80a…1a43backed Yes11c1,001$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.06728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4108343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5507268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc1…f823backed Yes36c977.78$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Yes52c953.12$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes53c943.8$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee35…239cbacked Yes53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No46c932$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.286150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5d…7e90backed Yes54c908.44$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed No46c900$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4869042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No48c827.27$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.183171%22 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+53.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed No45c820.48$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.265052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.