TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,411 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x60d5…be83backed No76c14,557$11,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,063.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c11,243$4,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,251.576,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes49c11,240$5,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,730.682,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No76c11,000$8,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,36035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd50…c0a8backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7902…170cbacked No53c9,516$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed No47c8,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,759.996435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c7,994$3,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,783.854,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes25c5,262$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,946.31,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes24c5,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8006248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes24c5,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8008939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes24c5,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8005042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes24c5,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.996650%33 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…db0abacked Yes25c3,620$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7151050%5 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+119.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes58c3,235$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.879246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes34c3,100$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0461650%8 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+53.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed No67c2,946$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.82922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No16c2,600$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.9515735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes25c1,878$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.52420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c1,654$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.841,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes52c1,439$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.6777336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No74c1,351$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.732875%21 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes24c1,259$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.8472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No69c1,244$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.347176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No76c1,075$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81721253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Yes77c1,000$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.24751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76019735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No75c999.8$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.855442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No31c990.37$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.612,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c945.14$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.51,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf87c…da0cbacked No32c826.5$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.67540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes25c631.79$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.1622746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No75c600$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45052454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x901a…6d69backed Yes56c559.99$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c449$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.7584549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3008831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No40c399.96$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9826548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes24c332.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.0717337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed Yes75c327.54$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.361566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No36c300$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.545142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed No76c279.62$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.514065%26 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes27c277.02$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.2322335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed No45c225$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.254835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked No24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503716.2%6 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes25c208$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15629238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes72c201$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.116548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503650%18 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c195$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.541,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes24c168.75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2513939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe822…f89fbacked No76c153.47$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.641080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x289b…714ebacked Yes25c153.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.11353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes66c151.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.554254.8%23 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Yes25c150$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.510846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes24c145$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.25633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No47c142.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.453344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes25c139.76$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.826344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes25c139.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2631746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No50c134.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.621,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b0…ccc3backed Yes25c132$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995149%25 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6e…bd37backed Yes59c127.4$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.41735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…f943backed No32c120.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.432347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4aa…383cbacked Yes25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No75c120$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9015861.4%97 W · 61 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No43c116.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1357150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc82…c7c5backed No76c116$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.161650%8 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes48c112.48$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.656544.6%29 W · 36 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes29c110$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.138233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes31c109.56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.859645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c2…6443backed Yes65c106.25$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.191478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes49c104.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.549235.9%33 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No24c103.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7442043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee4…4b3ebacked Yes25c101.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.98646.5%40 W · 46 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed No76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes33c99.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5215249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x336f…c31ebacked No67c98.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.79475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No71c98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.588666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Yes25c96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a2…06fbbacked No49c94.45$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes27c93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.077855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfba…9398backed Yes24c90.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.74875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+63.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed No42c90.25$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.77520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No23c88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.576028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No76c86.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.091,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef2c…227dbacked Yes58c85.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.492347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+59.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Yes50c82.28$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.143050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9708…d15bbacked Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3b…7582backed Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601625%4 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed No47c79.36$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.392941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed No23c79.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18319.7%3 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed7…50f6backed Yes47c78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.341163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes25c76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+62.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.