TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9708…d15b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
184
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10541.9%44 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+308.3%+$815.14
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+130.9%+$66.34
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.44
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.81
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.17
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.49
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.58
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+205.8%+$75.1
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$46.66
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$20.33
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.38
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$20.43
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$23.09
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$60
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$38.78
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.26
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.85
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$38.41
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.85
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$44.71
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.48
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$21.08
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.57
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.3
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$25.02
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.19
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$17.86
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.77
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$24.31
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.49
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$25.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.