MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3abe1a0482d6f0ec6c1543cd6f2605cfb7fe14b1ed7684bbe7b5b2e73bf4b305
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $635,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $653,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $635,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x531b…6022backed Houston Astros | 36c | 150,000$54,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,000 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 95,154$59,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,061.41 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 66,492$41,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,866.86 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 50,052$32,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,020.09 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 35c | 30,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 29,256$19,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,239.61 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 26,511$10,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,571.39 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 25,000$14,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,330 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 38c | 24,707$9,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,397.73 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 23,047$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,046.93 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 22,059$14,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,720.59 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Houston Astros | 44c | 17,378$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Houston Astros | 0c | 16,677$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Houston Astros | 37c | 16,554$6,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,125 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Houston Astros | 36c | 13,810$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.51 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 12,290$8,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,076.33 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 11,629$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Houston Astros | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Houston Astros | 37c | 10,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 35c | 8,679$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Houston Astros | 38c | 8,200$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.92 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 21c | 6,543$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.63 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Houston Astros | 36c | 6,275$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 5,500$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Houston Astros | 41c | 5,069$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.42 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 5,016$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.81 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Houston Astros | 32c | 4,967$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.21 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Houston Astros | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Houston Astros | 38c | 4,712$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Houston Astros | 40c | 4,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 38c | 4,500$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Houston Astros | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 12c | 3,906$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.78 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,725$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.9 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Houston Astros | 3c | 3,640$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Houston Astros | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 44c | 3,335$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.07 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 36c | 3,251$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.49 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 3,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.5 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 32c | 2,531$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.69 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,412$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Seattle Mariners | 78c | 2,337$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.96 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Houston Astros | 44c | 2,124$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.69 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,090$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.81 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 2,082$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.62 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,998$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.24 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 40c | 1,923$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.93 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 1,828$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 39c | 1,800$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.59 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Houston Astros | 1c | 1,774$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,771$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.78 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Houston Astros | 16c | 1,527$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.7 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,517$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.97 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,512$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.92 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 36c | 1,401$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.88 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,375$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,341$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.65 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 66c | 1,249$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,220$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.47 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…06d7backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,150$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.25 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,134$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.97 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Houston Astros | 36c | 1,129$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.3 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.92 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,073$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.38 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.04 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 973.52$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.46 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 964.91$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.91 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 962.62$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.39 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 38c | 958.16$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.5 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 937.5$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 35c | 840.11$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a90…1dddbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 825.05$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.52 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 789.47$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.47 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Houston Astros | 37c | 740.39$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.88 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 713.66$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Houston Astros | 40c | 693$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Houston Astros | 24c | 638$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 40c | 606.6$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.53 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Houston Astros | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 593.73$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.49 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 561.08$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.49 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 552$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Houston Astros | 38c | 469.85$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Houston Astros | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 453.24$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.43 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Houston Astros | 38c | 434.83$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 417.27$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Houston Astros | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Houston Astros | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Houston Astros | 39c | 399.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.66 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Houston Astros | 38c | 392.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Houston Astros | 40c | 372$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-5.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.