TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a90…1ddd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Mls at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.51
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$724.25
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$524.92
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$783.97
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.93
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+170.5%+$1,136.88
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.77
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,546Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,545.67
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$845
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$1,233.68
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.49
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,504Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$564.86
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+243.9%+$770.18
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$324.26
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,107.54
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.49
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.2
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$753.88
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,573Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,186.37
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$994Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+125%+$1,242.75
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$742.06
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$496.35
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.05
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Metsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.17
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$1,178.5
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Metsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$716.38
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,167.5
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,925Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+74%+$1,423.34
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+124.9%+$1,214.73
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$674.67
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$346.52
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.91
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.12
All 23 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$963.78
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$290.28
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$937Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$504.51
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$765
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$528.2
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.63
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 1backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18.79
Valorant: VARREL vs Team Secret (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1backed VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+102%+$505
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.44
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$147.26
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+130.6%+$1,572.32
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$555.77
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,213.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$877.33
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,051.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$725.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$468.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.