MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x813d51c722cb4ab1c208bf6c7753afd30ed874ad0266e42a74227216bef395ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Miami Marlins, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $596,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $601,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $596,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 317,931$165,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,312.98 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 135,392$65,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,343.57 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 95,000$45,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,400 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 52,553$25,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,214.23 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 45,000$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,599.99 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 25,275$12,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,132.07 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 24,510$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 22,953$11,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,854.42 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 22,380$11,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,143.73 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…c01bbacked Minnesota Twins | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +1.00per pick | 0cpaid | +99,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.98 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 15,500$7,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,679.99 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 15,086$7,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,656.74 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 13,803$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,487.35 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 11,832$6,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,797.74 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.98 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 8,199$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.67 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 3,699$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.48 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 3,004$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.99 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 77c | 2,618$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.69 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 2,586$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.12 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 18c | 2,229$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.52 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 2,194$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.5 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Miami Marlins | 1c | 2,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fb…d0d5backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 2,048$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,820$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.02 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,683$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.07 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.98 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,454$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.54 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Minnesota Twins | 78c | 1,200$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.69 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Minnesota Twins | 70c | 1,179$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.77 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 1,121$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.66 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,103$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.24 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Minnesota Twins | 71c | 1,029$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.39 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 350 | 56%196 W · 154 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…6cb6backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 976.27$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.14 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd899…8e49backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 940.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 883.41$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.29 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 833.33$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.33 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 770.78$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.4 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 751.43$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.17 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 702.26$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.52 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 610.42$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…5104backed Miami Marlins | 9c | 608.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.29per pick | 36cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 603.84$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.6 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 602.46$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.13 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 589$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.61 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a90…1dddbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 574.57$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.05 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 546.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.6 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…f5b9backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 538.44$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…ea92backed Miami Marlins | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 482.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Miami Marlins | 5c | 479$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 459.16$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.34 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Miami Marlins | 9c | 457.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…97debacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 449.97$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 445.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 444.91$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 433.52$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 422.55$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.37 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Minnesota Twins | 79c | 421$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 790 | 49.2%389 W · 401 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 419.45$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.92 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 416.72$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 406.75$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.31 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 398.29$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.34 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 382.13$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.54 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 371.97$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.39 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed Miami Marlins | 3c | 367.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 360$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 340.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…ea79backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 333$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 332.84$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.62 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 325.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.69 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 323.97$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.63 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 320.84$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.58 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 301.17$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 477 | 52.8%252 W · 225 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 354 | 49.2%174 W · 180 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 277.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.77 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 272.64$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-4.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.