TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaa89…6cb6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst College Football at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$424
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$546
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$539
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$232.34
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$324
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$327.45
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.8
Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$141.03
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$247.6
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$446.39
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$246
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$205
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$245
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+79.7%+$227.73
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+98.5%+$397
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Kings vs. Heatbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+316.7%+$456
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$110.12
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+127.3%+$381.82
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+100%+$250
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-6.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.19
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-7.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.87
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$257.02
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.06
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)backed Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.48
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.04
Spread: Ole Miss Rebels (-7.5)backed South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$175
Connecticut Huskies vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$65.69
Charleston Cougars vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$247.81
Oregon Ducks vs. USC Trojansbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$204
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.9%+$240.53
Florida State Seminoles vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$282
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$45.1
Akron Zips vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.3%+$62.3
George Mason Patriots vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+99.6%+$149.47
Troy Trojans vs. USC Trojansbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$151.57
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Utah Utesbacked Cal Poly Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$432
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.61
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.01
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.52
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$144
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$204
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$531
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$519.19
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.92
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+369.4%+$512.93
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$148.53
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.53
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$12.19
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$53.82
All 18 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+203%+$267.99
Will Texas Tech win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$87.57
Will Kalen DeBoer be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$128.95
Will Jeff Brohm be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$158
Will Michigan win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: San Diego State (-1.5)backed San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$280.5
Spread: Toledo (-10.5)backed Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$208
South Florida vs. North Texasbacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$137.5
Spread: Central Michigan (-7.5)backed Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$255
O/U 59.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+125.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$230.88
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
All 3 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+316.7%+$152
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$196
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.