MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf5f280218e1ea7c1b76697b219d16d6a6100c39895ea1eb94c9d3f7f25a3534
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 48c | 121,410$58,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,825.53 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 52c | 56,898$29,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,369.15 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 51,831$24,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,878.8 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 52c | 49,384$25,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,835.77 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 24,661$12,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,481.05 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 51c | 18,127$9,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,882.35 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 13,610$7,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,248.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 12,758$6,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 10,729$5,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150.5 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 47c | 4,121$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.04 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 52c | 2,394$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.12 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 2,192$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.88 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 52c | 1,897$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.53 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 52c | 1,896$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.25 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 52c | 1,892$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.11 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 51c | 1,522$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.96 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 52c | 1,287$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.76 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 55c | 1,128$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.4 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 52c | 948.62$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.34 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 52c | 948.17$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.12 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 64c | 947$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.02 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 892.42$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.29 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 52c | 751.15$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.55 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 52c | 744.46$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.34 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 55c | 597.61$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.22 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 52c | 593.22$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.75 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 577.31$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.88 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 52c | 568.9$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.07 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 52c | 544.21$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.69 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 52c | 535.2$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.08 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 530.82$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…6cb6backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 58c | 455.82$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.39 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under | 61c | 441.9$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 44c | 422$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.72 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 408.06$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 383$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Under | 52c | 379.44$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.13 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 373.39$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.96 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Under | 52c | 362$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.76 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…8d0ebacked Under | 52c | 288.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.68 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Over | 56c | 284.09$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.92 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…60d0backed Under | 52c | 269.06$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 52c | 253$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…421cbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Over | 49c | 201.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 39c | 199.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 34c | 171.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 161.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 52c | 139.15$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 52c | 97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Over | 50c | 95.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 58c | 95.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 47c | 93.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 48c | 92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 88.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 48c | 88.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Under | 52c | 85.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 42c | 78.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under | 46c | 74.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 53c | 66.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…7b5ebacked Under | 52c | 64.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 52c | 60.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Over | 49c | 53.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 47c | 52.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Over | 38c | 50.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…f901backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x932d…8529backed Under | 46c | 47.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…f3f0backed Under | 52c | 47.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 43c | 47.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 43c | 46.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…d1cabacked Under | 52c | 42.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 40.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 51c | 40.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd91…b49abacked Under | 52c | 38.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 48c | 37.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Over | 57c | 33.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Over | 57c | 33.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…e155backed Under | 52c | 31.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8c5dbacked Under | 65c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 51c | 29.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…5710backed Under | 52c | 28.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 40c | 27.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Under | 55c | 27.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…3636backed Under | 52c | 26.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 51c | 23.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 48c | 22.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego PadresPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.