MLB · resolved market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x369dabdf96c0d3eb9b690a428ec7d08f38230adb85526bacb06290d89c8f11ef

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, San Diego Padres
Resolved: May 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $673,871
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $706,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $673,871 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x98b1…d855backed San Diego Padres	28c	80,574$22,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,476.77	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-4.3wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked San Diego Padres	50c	73,291$36,646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,645.69	411	49.1%202 W · 209 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Philadelphia Phillies	50c	38,611$19,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,305.5	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres	55c	36,443$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	243	44.4%108 W · 135 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies	52c	28,476$14,935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,540.33	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies	74c	24,683$18,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,526.54	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed San Diego Padres	9c	23,504$2,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,080.5	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Philadelphia Phillies	45c	23,291$10,481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,809.85	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed San Diego Padres	11c	22,849$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+3.7wins	+0.16per pick	45cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres	49c	22,281$11,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,000	379	53.6%203 W · 176 L	+18.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked San Diego Padres	31c	22,000$6,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,820	156	50.6%79 W · 77 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies	50c	21,111$10,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,555.5	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies	46c	20,524$9,441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,082.88	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies	74c	15,215$11,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,920.84	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies	50c	14,629$7,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,314.7	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies	48c	11,000$5,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,720	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Philadelphia Phillies	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,099.92	531	50.5%268 W · 263 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres	50c	9,994$4,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,996.82	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Philadelphia Phillies	68c	9,939$6,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,146.34	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Philadelphia Phillies	49c	9,829$4,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,020.27	172	48.8%84 W · 88 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres	51c	9,000$4,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,634.96	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres	46c	8,702$4,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,027.16	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Philadelphia Phillies	79c	7,888$6,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,656.48	97	66%64 W · 33 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies	48c	6,655$3,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,477.07	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked San Diego Padres	51c	5,033$2,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,566.86	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Philadelphia Phillies	57c	4,700$2,679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,021	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4824…0be2backed San Diego Padres	21c	4,607$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.35	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies	47c	4,006$1,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,142.38	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Philadelphia Phillies	50c	3,600$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed San Diego Padres	51c	3,529$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Philadelphia Phillies	48c	3,185$1,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,656.2	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Philadelphia Phillies	69c	3,064$2,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$949.84	284	53.9%153 W · 131 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies	64c	2,812$1,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.63	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Philadelphia Phillies	45c	2,777$1,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,527.11	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Philadelphia Phillies	45c	2,727$1,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.85	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	+8.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Philadelphia Phillies	48c	2,724$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,423.87	192	50%96 W · 96 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies	72c	2,561$1,842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.5	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed San Diego Padres	39c	2,506$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.78	252	40.1%101 W · 151 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed San Diego Padres	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked San Diego Padres	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed San Diego Padres	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Philadelphia Phillies	46c	2,482$1,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,340.36	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Philadelphia Phillies	77c	2,367$1,835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.66	64	67.2%43 W · 21 L	+6.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked San Diego Padres	52c	2,324$1,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,208.34	66	50%33 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies	46c	2,167$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,167.14	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres	51c	2,093$1,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,067.6	891	53.5%477 W · 414 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed San Diego Padres	17c	2,053$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.14	1,510	39%589 W · 921 L	-16.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Philadelphia Phillies	69c	2,002$1,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.69	3,208	51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L	+146.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Philadelphia Phillies	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	246	39%96 W · 150 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed San Diego Padres	18c	2,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	66	47%31 W · 35 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed San Diego Padres	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	249	46.2%115 W · 134 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Philadelphia Phillies	46c	1,900$874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,026	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed San Diego Padres	5c	1,897$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.23	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dfc…1818backed Philadelphia Phillies	45c	1,891$851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.05	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Philadelphia Phillies	78c	1,862$1,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.9	1,083	56.3%610 W · 473 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies	80c	1,815$1,448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.17	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres	18c	1,794$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Philadelphia Phillies	46c	1,749$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$944.4	146	47.3%69 W · 77 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Philadelphia Phillies	50c	1,600$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Philadelphia Phillies	48c	1,520$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$790.39	707	44.7%316 W · 391 L	-22.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Philadelphia Phillies	47c	1,500$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.99	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8505…e4ddbacked San Diego Padres	19c	1,435$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.65	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked San Diego Padres	4c	1,400$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.32per pick	18cpaid	+156.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed San Diego Padres	21c	1,350$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.85	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies	79c	1,329$1,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.03	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68fa…16f6backed Philadelphia Phillies	46c	1,296$596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$699.72	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres	52c	1,237$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.73	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Philadelphia Phillies	48c	1,200$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked San Diego Padres	51c	1,176$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	124	49.2%61 W · 63 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e93…439cbacked Philadelphia Phillies	46c	1,165$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.33	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies	50c	1,165$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.5	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa1…bf72backed Philadelphia Phillies	46c	1,157$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.99	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Philadelphia Phillies	46c	1,150$529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621	92	62%57 W · 35 L	+8.9wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed San Diego Padres	21c	1,148$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241	132	25%33 W · 99 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Philadelphia Phillies	46c	1,101$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594.54	515	47%242 W · 273 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed San Diego Padres	51c	1,012$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6101…23bcbacked San Diego Padres	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	93	35.5%33 W · 60 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Philadelphia Phillies	46c	1,000$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed San Diego Padres	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+5.1wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Philadelphia Phillies	46c	1,000$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78a8…0753backed San Diego Padres	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Philadelphia Phillies	45c	1,000$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked San Diego Padres	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	168	48.2%81 W · 87 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked San Diego Padres	40c	998.77$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	205	52.7%108 W · 97 L	+12.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies	49c	987.91$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.48	1,205	58.8%708 W · 497 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed San Diego Padres	16c	962.5$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	157	49.7%78 W · 79 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked San Diego Padres	20c	950$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	228	31.6%72 W · 156 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed San Diego Padres	52c	900$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Philadelphia Phillies	50c	848.3$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.15	383	53.5%205 W · 178 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed San Diego Padres	54c	818.95$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.44	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies	75c	810.07$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.67	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed San Diego Padres	18c	800$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	340	45%153 W · 187 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies	46c	788$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.52	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked San Diego Padres	8c	720$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.33	266	18.4%49 W · 217 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres	22c	714.62$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.45	791	47.9%379 W · 412 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies	71c	714$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.34	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Philadelphia Phillies	78c	641.35$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.35	613	51.5%316 W · 297 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0167…d002backed Philadelphia Phillies	45c	600$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330	381	45.4%173 W · 208 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres	53c	599.98$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.99	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies	74c	582.09$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.88	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresthis page
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego PadresYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event