TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4824…0be2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT3315.2%5 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-56.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Julia Grabher vs Mariam Bolkvadzebacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.53
Brescia: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Mayar Sherifbacked Sarah Rakotomanga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Poznan: Maks Kasnikowski vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+27%+$143.32
Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Martin Krumichbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Susan Bandecchibacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.02
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynetsbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Roland Garros WTA: Caty McNally vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$337.43
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Little Rock: Blake Ellis vs Tyler Zinkbacked Blake Ellis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.85
Vicenza: Mika Brunold vs Massimo Giuntabacked Massimo Giunta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Little Rock: Erik Arutiunian vs Justin Boulaisbacked Erik Arutiunian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Maya Joint vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.43
Roland Garros WTA: Tatjana Maria vs Elise Mertensbacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.62
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Sheltonbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$329.86
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Lois Boissonbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.93
Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignonbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.59
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Cristina Bucsabacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+346.4%+$138.57
Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.62
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.16
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$959.4
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.35
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$456.43
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.62
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.42
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+140.8%+$195.06
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.83
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$745.38
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$986.98
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.