MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd792a922247069fb13cb9db4e8e9863f2d50260f9c0e232968567deaf8ab121b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 15,393$7,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,696.52 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 15,348$7,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,739.48 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 14,346$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,029.31 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 10,755$6,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.33 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 9,500$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 27c | 8,775$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 8,421$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.31 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 8,100$3,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,968.89 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…26e8backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 7,900$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 7,535$3,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,692.33 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 5,888$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4824…0be2backed Kansas City Royals | 13c | 5,827$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.38 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 4,872$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.41 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…ea79backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 4,700$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…e067backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 3,907$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,715$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.17 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 2,470$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.49 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…59acbacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 2,117$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.86 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 2,031$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.33 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Kansas City Royals | 3c | 2,002$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,921$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.54 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,765$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.81 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 19c | 1,758$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,306$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…1221backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,160$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.9 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,142$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.03 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 1,140$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.55 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 1,109$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.09 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,018$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.65 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Kansas City Royals | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 900$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 793.69$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.94 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 735.37$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.76 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Boston Red Sox | 73c | 680$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 661.55$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.16 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 613.47$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 535.99$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.36 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kansas City Royals | 27c | 523.18$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…d49fbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 518.52$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 514.86$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Boston Red Sox | 75c | 502.35$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 492$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 489.06$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.95 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 481$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.98 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 460.11$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…d4a7backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 457.56$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.78 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 418.18$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…7c0abacked Boston Red Sox | 68c | 416.68$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.68 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 409.86$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.93 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 401.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.97 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 387.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Kansas City Royals | 19c | 383.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Boston Red Sox | 77c | 363.28$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 352.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.9 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46c…6bc6backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 343.14$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 325.71$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.54 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 322.96$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.17 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Kansas City Royals | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 307.79$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.52 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…5282backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 279.57$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…6d36backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 276.58$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 263.39$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 260.31$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.47 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec43…a48abacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 255.48$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc753…b72cbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 252.96$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 29c | 249.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 244.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 244.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 241.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.95 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 234.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.65 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 234.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 226$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 226$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd839…a10fbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 223.55$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 4.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.