TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f9b…a181

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT20543.9%90 W · 115 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 205 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$63.51
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$106.42
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.94
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$73.18
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+145.4%+$116.34
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$55.59
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$74.69
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$73.85
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 205 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$49.01
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$280
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$25.38
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$35.84
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+94%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$146.67
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$59.9
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$53.91
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$121.82
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$59.8
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$172.68
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$159.07
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$213.33
All 5 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.