MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5bffc6d7acf1f539b9af905860ebdbbc7a8e94932c4f90ee42fcfd575a05e31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $627,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $673,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $627,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 143,518$73,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,324.05 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 57,308$24,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,527.18 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 49,471$23,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,651.46 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 40,622$19,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,904.54 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…6762backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 25,600$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 18,293$9,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,483.81 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 16,303$6,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,253.07 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 15,463$7,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200.81 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 14,931$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd6…1fa0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 10,526$6,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,145.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 5,993$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.68 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 5,553$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.26 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 4,993$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 4,767$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.09 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 4,588$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.47 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 4,393$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.16 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 4,300$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 4,026$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.02 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 3,848$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 3,703$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.49 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 3,678$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.91 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.97 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 3,587$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.39 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,917$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.1 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,869$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.73 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 2,790$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.7 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,680$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.61 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 2,490$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.38 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,427$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.21 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 2,162$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.7 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 2,076$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.24 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,001$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.31 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,954$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,778$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.56 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,579$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.07 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,495$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.8 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 1,444$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.62 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,237$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.09 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,231$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.5 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 1,224$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.58 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 1,037$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.5 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 1,031$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.49 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 1,029$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.61 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 1,021$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.72 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 977.3$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.61 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 963.27$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 944.48$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…2e67backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 925.49$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.49 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 850.81$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.82 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 779.9$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.26 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 778.84$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.63 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 741.33$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.84 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 736.83$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.13 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 733.62$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.33 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 637.17$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.21 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 630.92$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.24 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 630$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.9 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…582fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 627.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 619.01$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.1 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 600$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.25 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 549.97$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.98 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 527.2$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.34 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 516.58$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.26 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 508.69$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.95 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 474.21$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.36 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…4883backed Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 460.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 452.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 449.48$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.76 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 409$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.43 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 397.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 368.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 361.47$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 345.94$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 345.44$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.81 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…7f1dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 334.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 313.32$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 308.51$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.51 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 301.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 300$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 287.37$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.91 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 286.15$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 273.07$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 264.21$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.