MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x235fd15196fb5fa1189dad3f3b4c0296217949b7a4f95dcb9d5e8521eb5f5e28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Miami Marlins, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $557,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $570,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 309,931$120,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,873.09 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 211,551$129,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,505.08 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 68,999$42,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,909.77 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 38,229$23,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,688.72 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 26,066$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,165.62 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 26,000$9,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,879.96 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 20,403$7,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,753.06 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 19,314$7,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,456.47 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Miami Marlins | 2c | 18,000$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.13 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 12,499$7,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,749.77 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 10,075$6,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.41 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 9,000$5,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…ff67backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 7,958$4,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 7,889$5,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.19 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 7,695$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 7,000$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 6,641$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.92 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 5,594$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.58 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 5,424$3,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.81 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Miami Marlins | 0c | 5,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 11c | 5,112$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.25 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 4,592$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 4,537$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.22 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 3,150$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 3,125$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 3,017$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.45 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 2,806$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.25 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,470$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.22 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 2,374$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.23 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,252$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.64 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 2,200$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 2,043$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.33 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…7a20backed Miami Marlins | 14c | 1,929$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,911$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.4 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Miami Marlins | 1c | 1,764$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,552$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.65 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 1,477$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.08 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,469$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.33 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,455$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.04 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Miami Marlins | 4c | 1,397$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…8f37backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,365$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 9c | 1,064$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,030$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.58 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Miami Marlins | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 962$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.18 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 765.59$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.58 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 690$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.1 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…2e67backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 685.25$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 642.39$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.53 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 637$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 405 | 43.5%176 W · 229 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 575$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.25 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 529.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.09 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 522.93$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.71 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 520$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 513$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 503.23$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.23 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 488$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.56 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 462$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 459.23$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 432.96$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.53 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 426.92$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.42 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 419.55$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…64c8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 418.03$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 382.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 352.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 352$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 350$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 346.04$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 320.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 305.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 281.79$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 280$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 267.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 260.27$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 260.1$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 259.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 253.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…ab05backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 250.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 245.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…599abacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 242.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 236.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…138fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 234.75$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Miami Marlins | 16c | 229.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…7b22backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 228.85$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Miami Marlins | 13c | 224.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.