TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x526b…5269

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
195
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT11423.7%27 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-29.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.42
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.77
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.11
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.22
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.73
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.29
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.64
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$28.35
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$51.7
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankeesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$104.54
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.53
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.82
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$50.26
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.93
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$110.16
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.32
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.25
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$55.49
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT5724.6%14 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.45
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$210.38
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.87
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$36.03
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.95
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.29
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$55.37
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.98
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.16
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.69
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+136.3%+$385.54
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancebacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$74.1
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.3
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$169
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.59
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.94
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$478.15
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.1
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$88.84
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.7
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$128.26
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$35.46
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.93
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$95.12
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+48.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.01
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$269.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.