MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a1d4e26405e3cecc4e8fe557aac796b9649ba9d2a707644514a3a41561b69aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Milwaukee Brewers, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $549,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $564,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 29c | 163,946$48,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,143.56 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 104,854$71,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,719.77 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 28,381$17,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,514.99 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 18,517$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,739.67 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 18,448$7,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,699.84 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 17,386$9,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,983.7 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 17,093$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 14,721$9,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,719.28 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 13,707$5,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,086.16 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 13,433$9,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.25 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 8,416$4,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,883.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 7,511$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.27 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 7,070$4,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,418.75 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 5,175$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.7 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 4,873$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.24 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 4,853$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.59 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 4,466$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.27 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 4,337$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.3 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 3,983$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.68 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 3,788$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.04 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 3,578$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 3,360$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.97 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 3,155$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 26c | 2,926$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.68 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 26c | 2,564$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.84 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 2,514$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.18 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 2,514$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.57 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 2,346$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.54 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 2,239$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,170$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.43 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 1,950$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 1,870$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.37 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 1,782$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,770$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.3 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 25c | 1,699$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.25 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,405$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.9 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 1,249$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.82 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,217$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…672ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 1,197$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 23c | 1,166$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.66 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 1,161$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.49 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Milwaukee Brewers | 28c | 1,111$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.17 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,109$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.22 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,088$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.04 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,048$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,024$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.92 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…7a0abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 976.18$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.18 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Milwaukee Brewers | 26c | 954.62$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 948.96$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.27 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 881.56$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.81 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 840.48$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.56 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…291ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 809.62$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.75 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 28c | 801.73$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.9 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 783.56$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.58 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 779.97$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.18 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 767.01$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 25c | 680.41$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.94 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 672.1$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.75 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Milwaukee Brewers | 21c | 615.64$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 612.47$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.98 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 609.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.86 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 608.8$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.19 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 594.51$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.41 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 548.72$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.74 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 544.74$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 520$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 510$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Milwaukee Brewers | 22c | 502.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…ba37backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 500$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 499.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 16c | 499.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 492.36$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.6 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 491.53$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 483.83$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.38 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 479.45$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Milwaukee Brewers | 23c | 460$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Milwaukee Brewers | 25c | 452.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 30c | 450$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 443.38$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 441.13$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 419.72$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.42 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…3c8abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 413.32$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 400$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 398.01$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 392.24$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.95 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.