TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,362

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,099 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Under52c17,362$9,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,333.6948148.6%234 W · 247 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c16,744$8,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,455.7210,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over36c15,554$5,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,605.61,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c10,619$5,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,316.5911,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Under54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60049051%250 W · 240 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c5,857$3,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.138,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over41c4,999$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.5430647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over46c3,784$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.6479247.5%376 W · 416 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over47c3,329$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.113,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c3,114$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.51,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under53c3,106$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.6121748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over49c2,961$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.9391252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c2,822$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.812,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under68c2,019$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.220648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94012255.7%68 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c1,523$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.711,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c1,314$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.366,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over48c1,238$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.262,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under54c1,188$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.4857753.2%307 W · 270 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over35c909.04$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.6257053.3%304 W · 266 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over47c850$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.51,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under53c850$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.536246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over47c627.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.062,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over61c508.86$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.054,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Over43c490.01$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.851,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c483.58$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.075,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under39c450.39$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.741,85544%817 W · 1,038 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Over12c414$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6828453.9%153 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under36c408.25$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.2890446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under63c281.94$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.039,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Under36c223$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7234443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over46c212.81$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.891,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9807…6569backed Under57c207.48$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.913658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3166748.7%325 W · 342 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.31,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x134d…b07bbacked Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over47c180$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.42,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over50c138.9$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9592645.9%425 W · 501 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Over47c130.32$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2537546.9%176 W · 199 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under50c114.85$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8411535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under56c102.38$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9257747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013951.8%72 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4721653.2%115 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5923651.3%121 W · 115 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9117462.6%109 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdef1…e893backed Under51c85.02$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.661546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.21,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked Under55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.739761.9%60 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under44c67.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.715,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over47c61.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.228,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under73c58.94$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.623,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d69…ab3abacked Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.614450.7%73 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Under60c55.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.036552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Over33c55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1541236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.378550.2%394 W · 391 L+2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ab…18c6backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511151.4%57 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over55c51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.964,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceba…a705backed Over47c49.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over47c49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.031,30650.7%662 W · 644 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Over41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-36.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over47c47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0926860.4%162 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over47c46.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.013,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under44c45.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.731848.7%155 W · 163 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under59c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3824448.8%119 W · 125 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9280…4d46backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over49c41.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.321,27857%728 W · 550 L+33.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over48c40.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.672,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over45c40.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.26,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Over47c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3339250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4630848.1%148 W · 160 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over68c37.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21,02658.1%596 W · 430 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over46c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.022,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Over46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.89047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under50c25.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.611,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over61c23.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.231,24058.1%721 W · 519 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74dd…f3c5backed Under76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7511254.5%61 W · 51 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b46…ed0dbacked Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.792236.4%8 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-40.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.238342%161 W · 222 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be0…ca40backed Under64c15.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.658775.9%66 W · 21 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+18.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.