TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd759…6d1a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst WNBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4949%24 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$431.71
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,737.29
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+144%+$2,879.81
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$352.42
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$492.69
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$145.71
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$864.62
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$147.7
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,277.78
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.8
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$215.85
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cancun: Dalibor Svrcina vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$221.7
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Tatjana Maria vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$161.54
National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+400%+$180
Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shickbacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$82.58
Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila Spiteribacked Dalila Spiteri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabebacked Masamichi Imamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Stefan Kozlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Newport: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Anna Rogersbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Newport: Garrett Johns vs Patrick Maloneybacked Patrick Maloney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,995Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$1,289.02
Braunschweig: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Andres Santamarta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shickbacked Braden Shick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$122.41
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$353.61
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$460.95
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon ATP: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$204.23
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$217.31
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$153.23
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$475
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$905.17
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,125
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,094Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$1,520.1
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,350.5
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$105.13
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$67.33
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,439.02
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31.45
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
All 16 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$291.18
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.28
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$75.42
Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
PortlandFire vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$91.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$128.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$748.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.