Tennis · resolved market
Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shick
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d512e915b826e2b89b5acfd08452fee32fc22f4f9405e37ee31044b2473b7c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rio Noguchiof Rio Noguchi, Braden Shick
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef53…4591backed Braden Shick | 35c | 19,331$6,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,757.33 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Braden Shick | 36c | 13,780$4,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,917.79 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Rio Noguchi | 47c | 12,536$5,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,605.82 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Braden Shick | 33c | 7,225$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.38 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…9cf8backed Braden Shick | 43c | 7,216$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.2 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…8876backed Rio Noguchi | 58c | 6,281$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.13 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Braden Shick | 10c | 4,666$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.71 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Braden Shick | 45c | 4,450$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Braden Shick | 4c | 4,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Braden Shick | 8c | 3,872$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.7 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…d48fbacked Rio Noguchi | 53c | 3,450$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.06 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Rio Noguchi | 66c | 2,861$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.38 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Rio Noguchi | 61c | 2,410$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.9 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Rio Noguchi | 64c | 2,363$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.8 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Rio Noguchi | 66c | 2,312$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.58 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Rio Noguchi | 58c | 2,204$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.22 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Rio Noguchi | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Rio Noguchi | 61c | 1,920$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.43 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rio Noguchi | 50c | 1,761$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.45 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Braden Shick | 48c | 1,595$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.61 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Rio Noguchi | 70c | 1,586$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.99 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rio Noguchi | 60c | 1,506$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.44 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Braden Shick | 40c | 1,449$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.75 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Braden Shick | 40c | 1,376$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.02 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Rio Noguchi | 61c | 1,374$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.66 | 366 | 40.7%149 W · 217 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Rio Noguchi | 67c | 1,370$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.68 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rio Noguchi | 63c | 1,241$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.11 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Braden Shick | 47c | 1,230$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.15 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Braden Shick | 41c | 1,207$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.31 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Braden Shick | 38c | 1,004$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.15 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rio Noguchi | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Braden Shick | 35c | 999.8$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.15 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Rio Noguchi | 62c | 975.31$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.78 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Braden Shick | 44c | 962.3$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.54 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acd…d0b6backed Braden Shick | 54c | 933.5$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rio Noguchi | 67c | 843$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.33 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Rio Noguchi | 56c | 786$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.99 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Rio Noguchi | 47c | 784.33$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.05 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…7bebbacked Rio Noguchi | 62c | 781.79$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Braden Shick | 48c | 777.49$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.94 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Braden Shick | 24c | 771.07$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.42 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed Rio Noguchi | 68c | 754.35$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Rio Noguchi | 53c | 723.42$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.42 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Braden Shick | 37c | 701.03$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.87 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Braden Shick | 15c | 682.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Braden Shick | 33c | 607.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Braden Shick | 45c | 600$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Braden Shick | 39c | 582.24$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.29 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Rio Noguchi | 64c | 559.62$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Rio Noguchi | 67c | 545.58$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.15 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…8e4fbacked Rio Noguchi | 77c | 535.55$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Braden Shick | 44c | 485.57$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.68 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Rio Noguchi | 53c | 432.85$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.85 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Braden Shick | 47c | 418.26$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.58 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Rio Noguchi | 56c | 416.29$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.29 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Braden Shick | 35c | 406.13$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.15 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc077…eeffbacked Braden Shick | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rio Noguchi | 59c | 399.98$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 553 | 60.4%334 W · 219 L | +32.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…e05ebacked Rio Noguchi | 52c | 386.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Braden Shick | 47c | 385.04$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.76 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Braden Shick | 33c | 375.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.66 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Rio Noguchi | 51c | 371.12$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.16 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked Rio Noguchi | 54c | 371.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.06 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Rio Noguchi | 59c | 349.81$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.88 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Rio Noguchi | 72c | 336.18$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Rio Noguchi | 60c | 331.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Rio Noguchi | 52c | 328$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.13 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Braden Shick | 39c | 325.21$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Rio Noguchi | 53c | 323.73$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Braden Shick | 48c | 315.1$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.92 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Braden Shick | 39c | 313.16$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Rio Noguchi | 60c | 309.57$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rio Noguchi | 70c | 308.78$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2180…df40backed Rio Noguchi | 56c | 308.21$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.9 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Braden Shick | 37c | 300.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Braden Shick | 42c | 300.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.38 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Rio Noguchi | 61c | 287$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Braden Shick | 11c | 285.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Braden Shick | 40c | 269.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Braden Shick | 37c | 269.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Braden Shick | 21c | 267.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…2560backed Rio Noguchi | 75c | 265.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ad…294bbacked Rio Noguchi | 56c | 265.05$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Braden Shick | 37c | 260.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Rio Noguchi | 59c | 258.63$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…5c23backed Rio Noguchi | 55c | 256.31$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.34 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Braden Shick | 39c | 255$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Braden Shick | 39c | 253.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Rio Noguchi | 59c | 246$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 439 | 50.8%223 W · 216 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rio Noguchi | 55c | 245$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.48 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked Braden Shick | 39c | 241.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Rio Noguchi | 64c | 236.43$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Braden Shick | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…0dabbacked Braden Shick | 43c | 232.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Braden Shick | 43c | 230.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Rio Noguchi | 56c | 223.43$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…bf96backed Braden Shick | 46c | 219.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Rio Noguchi | 70c | 219.27$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Rio Noguchi | 63c | 218$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Braden Shick | 47c | 213.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shickthis page
- Noguchi vs. Shick: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.