TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x360c…bf96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
1
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 39 out of 100 (-0.10 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6738.8%26 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.58
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.51
Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Moez Echarguibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.95
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Charles Broombacked Oliver Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$49.93
Cincinnati Open: Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.8
Kingston: Harold Mayot vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.92
Roehampton: Lucas Poullain vs Max Basingbacked Max Basing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.51
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baezbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25.66
Cincinnati Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Sara Bejlekbacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.41
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.38
Cincinnati Open: Elvina Kalieva vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$39.41
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Cincinnati Open: Caty McNally vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
Cincinnati Open: Zachary Svajda vs Mattia Belluccibacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.39
Cincinnati Open: Katie Boulter vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.54
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Nadia Podoroskabacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.66
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Camila Osoriobacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.16
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensikbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$41.2
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.79
National Bank Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Emma Navarrobacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.88
National Bank Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$30.44
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.09
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.