Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa02bbd8cecdd70852a777e96d62420fdd3370c014c59899a7f98f89e0e1d4f51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Merida Aguilarof Daniel Merida Aguilar, Marin Cilic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $384,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $445,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Marin Cilic | 42c | 24,053$10,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,054.6 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…f272backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 59c | 19,325$11,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,018.01 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 54c | 17,766$9,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,117.12 | 1,318 | 43.6%574 W · 744 L | -23.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 59c | 14,685$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,085.17 | 344 | 57.6%198 W · 146 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 55c | 14,442$7,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.01 | 750 | 46.8%351 W · 399 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Marin Cilic | 43c | 12,532$5,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,435.72 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 39c | 12,308$4,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,492.05 | 411 | 31.9%131 W · 280 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Marin Cilic | 41c | 11,756$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.69 | 718 | 52.8%379 W · 339 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marin Cilic | 70c | 10,343$7,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,240.29 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 58c | 10,257$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.69 | 732 | 39.5%289 W · 443 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 57c | 9,961$5,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.26 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked Marin Cilic | 45c | 8,547$3,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,846.15 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Marin Cilic | 63c | 8,410$5,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,257.1 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…0dabbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Marin Cilic | 45c | 7,700$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450.98 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Marin Cilic | 41c | 6,417$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.05 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marin Cilic | 42c | 6,120$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.49 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Marin Cilic | 43c | 6,059$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.93 | 539 | 42.1%227 W · 312 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Marin Cilic | 37c | 5,676$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 60c | 5,017$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.51 | 595 | 53.8%320 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 60c | 4,920$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked Marin Cilic | 69c | 4,081$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd062…d893backed Marin Cilic | 74c | 3,593$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 61c | 3,307$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.17 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Marin Cilic | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked Marin Cilic | 69c | 2,960$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.4 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 41c | 2,910$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.05 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 52c | 2,808$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.75 | 367 | 44.4%163 W · 204 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 55c | 2,761$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.01 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Marin Cilic | 45c | 2,697$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.55 | 1,354 | 38.3%518 W · 836 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 49c | 2,682$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.44 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Marin Cilic | 42c | 2,594$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.79 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 53c | 2,477$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.8 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Marin Cilic | 45c | 2,453$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.68 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Marin Cilic | 46c | 2,343$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.97 | 1,692 | 48.8%826 W · 866 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Marin Cilic | 22c | 2,311$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Marin Cilic | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 362 | 47%170 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.22 | 926 | 55.9%518 W · 408 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Marin Cilic | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…7451backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Marin Cilic | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 1,505 | 37.7%568 W · 937 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f8…894fbacked Marin Cilic | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Marin Cilic | 41c | 1,951$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 691 | 41.1%284 W · 407 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bc0dbacked Marin Cilic | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 63c | 1,781$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.85 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Marin Cilic | 18c | 1,772$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.01 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 57c | 1,768$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.87 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Marin Cilic | 45c | 1,739$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.74 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…3facbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Marin Cilic | 70c | 1,600$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 530 | 44.9%238 W · 292 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Marin Cilic | 50c | 1,572$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.09 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 44c | 1,527$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.79 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 272 | 62.9%171 W · 101 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Marin Cilic | 70c | 1,424$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Marin Cilic | 45c | 1,277$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.82 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 63c | 1,266$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.86 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…8f65backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 55c | 1,250$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 59c | 1,225$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.41 | 386 | 46.4%179 W · 207 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Marin Cilic | 45c | 1,204$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.79 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Marin Cilic | 41c | 1,190$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.09 | 435 | 47.4%206 W · 229 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 59c | 1,185$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.48 | 623 | 45.4%283 W · 340 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Marin Cilic | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Marin Cilic | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 785 | 40.6%319 W · 466 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Marin Cilic | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Marin Cilic | 34c | 1,078$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.46 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…2ebdbacked Marin Cilic | 72c | 1,066$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.73 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 58c | 1,062$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.95 | 708 | 57.5%407 W · 301 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 39c | 1,017$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.42 | 233 | 60.1%140 W · 93 L | +21.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Marin Cilic | 45c | 1,000$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.12 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…ae33backed Marin Cilic | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 337 | 55.2%186 W · 151 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Marin Cilic | 46c | 999.97$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Marin Cilic | 42c | 943.96$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.87 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Marin Cilic | 3c | 891.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 40c | 888$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.02 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacde…54c6backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 56c | 869.79$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa216…b201backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 56c | 861.14$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.9 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 31c | 790.16$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.21 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Marin Cilic | 48c | 789$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.72 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 54c | 777$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.42 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 28c | 750$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…b1e1backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 55c | 749.98$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.49 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 27c | 700$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 513 | 44.4%228 W · 285 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Marin Cilic | 44c | 677.28$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 40c | 669.58$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.44 | 488 | 47.1%230 W · 258 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 58c | 666$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.72 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Marin Cilic | 46c | 660$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.21 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Marin Cilic | 53c | 638.07$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.24 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 31c | 629.03$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.03 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 38c | 611.97$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.72 | 503 | 41.9%211 W · 292 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Marin Cilic | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Marin Cilic | 36c | 599.21$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.59 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 58c | 580.21$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.23 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 54c | 577.52$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.86 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…30f2backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 68c | 571.14$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.01 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Daniel Merida Aguilar | 58c | 555$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d72ebacked Marin Cilic | 68c | 554.41$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b5…0fcebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar | 68c | 551.47$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked Marin Cilic | 72c | 527.76$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Aguilar vs CilicCilic won
- Set Handicap: Cilic (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)Aguilar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.