TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x77d5…732e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
387
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT33755.2%186 W · 151 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 337 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$878Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+133%+$1,167.81
Winston-Salem Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$630
Philadelphia: Talia Gibson vs Lizette Cabrerabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.99
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heidebacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$729.98
Philadelphia: Veronika Erjavec vs Julia Grabherbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$308
US Open, Qualification ATP: Mark Lajal vs Jordan Leebacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
US Open, Qualification ATP: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Alevtina Ibragimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
Roehampton 2: Johannus Monday vs Iliyan Radulovbacked Iliyan Radulov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.99
Augsburg: Calvin Hemery vs Hynek Bartonbacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$848.12
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Eduardo Ribeirobacked Eduardo Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Monterrey Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$644
Monterrey Open: Lilli Tagger vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs En-Shuo Liangbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Winston-Salem Open: Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.98
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$959.99
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$219.99
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$517.28
Showing 25 of 337 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3941%16 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$510.4
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.74
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$805
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$620
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.75
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.5
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$724.5
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$780
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$409.49
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.75
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$692.5
England to score first vs. Mexico?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.8
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$260
Brazil leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.35
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.99
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Morocco leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.