TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,865 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc72d…fc21backed No63c49,713$31,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,573.654062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes37c25,453$9,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,417.732441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.972920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed No64c8,246$5,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,968.564148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes37c6,624$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.911,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No66c6,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9410945%49 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7008845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No64c4,635$2,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.0770249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes38c3,361$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.5333346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd73…53c5backed Yes3c3,223$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Yes37c3,215$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005437%20 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes39c3,116$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.2435550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes39c2,051$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.7353040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No73c2,004$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.073759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+106.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes38c1,762$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.7268150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes39c1,726$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.7332848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes37c1,681$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No63c1,491$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.4372850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes18c1,324$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.8198945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3704334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa49e…e5e8backed Yes39c961.54$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes38c943.22$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.4353046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes33c862.19$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.525743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Yes37c800$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2961723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c753.75$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.353,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes36c733.35$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4614652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes37c604.39$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7773438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes25c412.58$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.551,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes34c405.63$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d5…732ebacked Yes34c399.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Yes37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes37c284$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.494528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes35c276$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2252923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Yes36c240$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.214349%70 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes35c237$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9519642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No70c231.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2835247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad7…42aabacked No63c229.1$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.771353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No64c211.29$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3680358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No66c190$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.691553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes37c163$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3110628.3%30 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes38c157.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0126450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b8…8921backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502817.9%5 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No66c144$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9614359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No63c126$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.623834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes39c124.41$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5212650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed No65c115.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.382979.3%23 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes37c114.78$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.478129.6%24 W · 57 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes38c113$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9415051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No64c110$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7911144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes37c106.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4117858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa63…f061backed Yes16c100.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Yes38c91.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.743151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No64c79.45$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2513259.1%78 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked No62c76.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.235068%34 W · 16 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1defbacked Yes17c75.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.481154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed No66c72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.481241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes38c71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9837649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed No62c70.46$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.773250%16 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes27c68.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.496460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Yes37c67.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.989346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.618456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Yes33c59.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84634.8%16 W · 30 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9786…1e9abacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202931%9 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes36c52.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed No65c52.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No64c52.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.797263.9%46 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Yes38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198447.6%40 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes34c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c45.44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6954949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes37c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.654047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked No65c43.25$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.197757.1%44 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes38c43.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3512356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked No62c43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc11d…0123backed No62c42.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.061963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No74c40.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6496756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed No62c40.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.192347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.616456.7%93 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes26c38.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0845140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed No62c37.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.082770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+71.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No62c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6816955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No79c35.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6458…2a3bbacked Yes38c30.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No64c27.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x193b…f6ecbacked No62c27.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No64c24.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.888454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d7…078dbacked No63c22.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.