Mls · resolved market
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3f84e42dfbe01bde5e1b7a29a845028ab3bd1b224f2c318691239c1f9790eb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $680,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $688,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $680,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 41c | 386,941$160,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226,779.83 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked Yes | 38c | 184,043$70,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,823.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 60c | 91,522$54,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,459.13 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…2ee5backed No | 58c | 63,353$36,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,825.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 59c | 41,645$24,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,570.63 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 33,884$20,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,030.58 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 28,422$16,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,815.2 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 52c | 26,938$13,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,914.18 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked No | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,250 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed No | 59c | 22,222$13,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,110.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 59c | 21,342$12,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,563.35 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 59c | 18,000$10,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,630 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed No | 60c | 16,667$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 16,411$9,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,833.42 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 59c | 14,987$8,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,807.92 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 14,531$8,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,911.87 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 14,170$8,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,059.6 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 59c | 12,300$7,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,293 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 61c | 10,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 9c | 8,795$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.57 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 10c | 8,554$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.94 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 61c | 8,368$5,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,104.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 61c | 7,750$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,702.15 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 7c | 7,019$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.77 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 3c | 5,200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 61c | 4,785$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.76 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 61c | 4,348$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 60c | 4,180$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.53 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 59c | 4,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 61c | 4,000$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 62c | 3,630$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.91 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 61c | 3,221$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.53 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 61c | 2,946$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.06 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed No | 61c | 2,682$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 61c | 2,613$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 61c | 2,025$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 60c | 2,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 2,000$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.33 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,926$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.86 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked Yes | 65c | 1,885$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 61c | 1,388$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.61 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 60c | 1,355$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.57 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 55c | 1,348$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.17 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 60c | 1,338$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.36 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 58c | 1,272$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.44 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 5c | 1,250$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed No | 60c | 1,190$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 53cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 61c | 1,166$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.48 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 64c | 1,150$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked No | 51c | 1,111$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.44 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed No | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 21c | 1,096$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.82 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 60c | 1,024$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.96 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 61c | 890$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.78 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 61c | 855$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.55 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed No | 62c | 808.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes | 61c | 804.44$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 61c | 772$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.92 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 3c | 749.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 60c | 739$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.81 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 36c | 738.05$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 60c | 667.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 79c | 635.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.73 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked No | 3c | 634.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 14cpaid | +229.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 74c | 603.45$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 40c | 591.8$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.21 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 59c | 570.18$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.34 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 61c | 558.4$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.59 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 57c | 525.84$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.72 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 61c | 514.82$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.04 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed No | 22c | 512.81$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 54c | 490$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.14 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 60c | 480.31$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 62c | 477.33$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.34 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Yes | 41c | 464.63$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…c62dbacked No | 60c | 458$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked No | 59c | 427.64$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.66 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 61c | 420.14$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.29 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 61c | 395.85$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed No | 60c | 378.8$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.49 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed No | 8c | 374.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed No | 60c | 371$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.07 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 347.72$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.41 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 61c | 340.2$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.52 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 60c | 325.47$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.28 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed No | 58c | 300$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 62c | 288$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c35…e5f8backed No | 12c | 287$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 61c | 284$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.24 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-25?this page
- Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-25?No won
- Will New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.