Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ea0ae25ae052346a8ec08f3323ffd7f7dbf3cd0061910ebfd75dd98a3d6583b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gauffof Gauff, Bejlek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf377…4159backed Bejlek | 48c | 10,096$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.15 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Gauff | 52c | 4,960$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.03 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a4…1963backed Bejlek | 46c | 2,512$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.14 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked Gauff | 56c | 2,446$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.25 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Gauff | 53c | 1,954$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.3 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Gauff | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 337 | 55.2%186 W · 151 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Gauff | 53c | 990.24$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.96 | 441 | 51.9%229 W · 212 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Bejlek | 42c | 936.34$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.07 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Gauff | 56c | 886.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.59 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Bejlek | 47c | 754.68$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.7 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Gauff | 53c | 603.04$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.43 | 843 | 49.8%420 W · 423 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Gauff | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Bejlek | 46c | 420.41$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.39 | 2,212 | 42.9%948 W · 1,264 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Bejlek | 47c | 381.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked Gauff | 52c | 380$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Bejlek | 43c | 350.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Gauff | 53c | 300.84$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.39 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Bejlek | 51c | 286.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Bejlek | 43c | 231.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Bejlek | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Gauff | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…46c6backed Gauff | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Bejlek | 43c | 192.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bejlek | 50c | 179.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed98…c04cbacked Gauff | 53c | 174.8$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Bejlek | 30c | 132.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Gauff | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 277 | 54.5%151 W · 126 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868d…78c9backed Bejlek | 48c | 131$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gauff | 66c | 129.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gauff | 54c | 118$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Bejlek | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Bejlek | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 55.8%169 W · 134 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508f…775fbacked Gauff | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Gauff | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d56fbacked Bejlek | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Gauff | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 359 | 61.6%221 W · 138 L | +40.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Bejlek | 48c | 95.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 365 | 57.5%210 W · 155 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Gauff | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 380 | 51.6%196 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Gauff | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Gauff | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 870 | 54.6%475 W · 395 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Gauff | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 930 | 55.9%520 W · 410 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Gauff | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 273 | 57.9%158 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Bejlek | 50c | 91.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Bejlek | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 941 | 49.5%466 W · 475 L | +17.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Bejlek | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Bejlek | 50c | 74.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 2,142 | 37.3%799 W · 1,343 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Gauff | 53c | 72.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Gauff | 53c | 70.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Gauff | 53c | 68.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 406 | 61.3%249 W · 157 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Gauff | 53c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 964 | 44.2%426 W · 538 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Gauff | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 913 | 54.9%501 W · 412 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Gauff | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Bejlek | 44c | 56.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1,235 | 44.9%554 W · 681 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Gauff | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Bejlek | 42c | 52.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 509 | 48.1%245 W · 264 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Bejlek | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Gauff | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ad52backed Gauff | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Bejlek | 50c | 49.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 787 | 57.1%449 W · 338 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Gauff | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | +20.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Gauff | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Gauff | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…9a9bbacked Bejlek | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Bejlek | 50c | 39.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 1,001 | 38.4%384 W · 617 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Bejlek | 50c | 39.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 554 | 37.5%208 W · 346 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…3026backed Gauff | 53c | 36.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Bejlek | 44c | 36.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Gauff | 56c | 34.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…7a6bbacked Gauff | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Gauff | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Gauff | 52c | 28.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Gauff | 75c | 28.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Gauff | 54c | 27.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 423 | 45.9%194 W · 229 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9995…ec0ebacked Gauff | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Bejlek | 46c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 663 | 47.1%312 W · 351 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Gauff | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f93fbacked Gauff | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaa…0585backed Gauff | 68c | 16.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)this page
- Bejlek vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco GauffCoco Gauff won
- Sara Bejlek vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Bejlek vs GauffGauff won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.