TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc40…6ae3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst WNBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT5752.6%30 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$1,339.8
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+396.9%+$1,112.74
Roehampton 2 (Doubles): Bass/Duncan vs Hands/Summersbacked Hands/Summers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+119.9%+$16
Kingston 2: Paul Jubb vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Augsburg: Marvin Moeller vs Thomas Faurelbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+130.9%+$19.63
Roehampton 2: Jay Dylan Friend vs Michael Geertsbacked Jay Dylan Friend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$6.92
Roehampton 2: George Loffhagen vs Alastair Graybacked George Loffhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$104.73
Augsburg: Petr Brunclik vs Daniel Masurbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.13
ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men: Matis Roche vs Leo Raquilletbacked Matis Roche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
ITF W35 Verbier 2 Women: Karolina Kozakova vs Noelia Mantabacked Karolina Kozakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ITF W35 Verbier 2 Women: Olga Danilova vs Michaela Bayerlovabacked Olga Danilova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+514.4%+$77.15
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 13 Men: Giovanni Ciocca vs Gokberk Saritasbacked Gokberk Saritas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ITF W15 Monastir 22 Women: Liana Cammilleri vs Yelena Lebeaubacked Liana Cammilleri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$611.11
Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazuabacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$831Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$831.14
ITF M25 Taipei 2 Men: Kosuke Ogura vs Tomohiro Masabayashibacked Kosuke Ogura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$4.92
Winston-Salem Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Francisco Comesanabacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$765
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajdabacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$245.4
US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrezbacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$463.62
Kingston 2: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Andrew Fentybacked Andrew Fenty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$19.95
Kingston 2: Edward Winter vs Andres Andradebacked Edward Winter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kingston 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Max Purcellbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roehampton 2: Billy Blaydes vs Matteo Martineaubacked Billy Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 167.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$16.7
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Washington Mystics (-9.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Washington Mystics (-10.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+262%+$29.04
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+168.8%+$262.7
Brittney Griner: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.34
Erica Wheeler: Points O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Erica Wheeler: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$3.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinosbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$19.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$289.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$611.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Newcastle United FC O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.