Asian League · resolved market
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c4176c1f0e3c03f1d9dfe272cf11bcc0d142b7699a14e105f09906dbad5bfe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 2,060$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.23 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Over | 60c | 723.28$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…1cf7backed Over | 60c | 222$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…13ffbacked Over | 58c | 215.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Over | 61c | 155.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6913…c416backed Over | 58c | 98.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…ec95backed Over | 61c | 96.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…3415backed Over | 61c | 69.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4381backed Over | 61c | 44.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Over | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.