Asian League · resolved market
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x061d0e20f4821fcc0d0be5ddd9015c9b06b39a3349812dcb8dd20091be02914a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 1,326$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.77 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 54c | 606.91$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.02 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…62bfbacked Under | 56c | 300$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…01a7backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6083…aa55backed Under | 52c | 74.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 76c | 45.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +112%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…0783backed Under | 60c | 17.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.