Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Verbier 2 Women: Olga Danilova vs Michaela Bayerlova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46ae268ecdf13aefdf5aee8591ff5a0f7bba26e98b67b79890ceb70b1f7060d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olga Danilovaof Olga Danilova, Michaela Bayerlova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Michaela Bayerlova | 37c | 5,324$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.53 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Olga Danilova | 60c | 3,952$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.68 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Olga Danilova | 47c | 3,608$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.29 | 713 | 29.7%212 W · 501 L | -39.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Olga Danilova | 17c | 2,011$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Michaela Bayerlova | 70c | 1,741$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.98 | 221 | 50.7%112 W · 109 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Olga Danilova | 27c | 1,159$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.22 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Michaela Bayerlova | 41c | 1,073$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Michaela Bayerlova | 51c | 639.84$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 347 | 64%222 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Olga Danilova | 18c | 600$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olga Danilova | 51c | 483.25$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.7 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Olga Danilova | 18c | 359.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.22 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Olga Danilova | 72c | 273.53$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 454 | 57%259 W · 195 L | +27.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Olga Danilova | 23c | 271.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.03 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Michaela Bayerlova | 50c | 182.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Michaela Bayerlova | 61c | 141.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 792 | 49.1%389 W · 403 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Michaela Bayerlova | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Olga Danilova | 16c | 122.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Michaela Bayerlova | 40c | 114.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Michaela Bayerlova | 73c | 113.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 312 | 50.6%158 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Michaela Bayerlova | 18c | 108.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 599 | 41.1%246 W · 353 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Olga Danilova | 18c | 100.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Olga Danilova | 35c | 93.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Olga Danilova | 16c | 92.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Olga Danilova | 61c | 87.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Olga Danilova | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Michaela Bayerlova | 46c | 87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Michaela Bayerlova | 31c | 82.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Michaela Bayerlova | 57c | 73.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…27d1backed Olga Danilova | 65c | 72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Olga Danilova | 27c | 68.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 677 | 45.6%309 W · 368 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Olga Danilova | 25c | 65.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Michaela Bayerlova | 31c | 62.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Michaela Bayerlova | 52c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Olga Danilova | 54c | 52.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Michaela Bayerlova | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 857 | 41.7%357 W · 500 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Olga Danilova | 24c | 48.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 195 | 40.5%79 W · 116 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…9980backed Michaela Bayerlova | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Michaela Bayerlova | 77c | 39.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Michaela Bayerlova | 43c | 37.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 380 | 47.1%179 W · 201 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Michaela Bayerlova | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michaela Bayerlova | 73c | 32.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Michaela Bayerlova | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…ecefbacked Michaela Bayerlova | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Michaela Bayerlova | 73c | 29.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…3521backed Michaela Bayerlova | 61c | 26.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…83c2backed Michaela Bayerlova | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 196 | 29.1%57 W · 139 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…6fa9backed Michaela Bayerlova | 75c | 20.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…c536backed Michaela Bayerlova | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -16.4wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Olga Danilova | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +26.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Michaela Bayerlova | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 418 | 63.9%267 W · 151 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Olga Danilova | 61c | 19.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 176 | 57.4%101 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Olga Danilova | 60c | 17.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.