TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e1e…cbfb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT14052.1%73 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Monterrey Open: Shuai Zhang vs Maria Timofeevabacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
US Open, Qualification ATP: Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.39
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.1
US Open, Qualification WTA: Suzan Lamens vs Emerson Jonesbacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$17.03
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gauthier Onclin vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Kingston 2: Karl Poling vs Thomas Fancuttbacked Karl Poling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
US Open, Qualification ATP: Michael Antonius vs Henry Searlebacked Michael Antonius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.85
Roehampton 2: Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenzabacked Alec Deckers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$45.14
Roehampton 2: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Emile Huddbacked Emile Hudd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$254.75
ITF W35 Verbier 2 Women: Olga Danilova vs Michaela Bayerlovabacked Michaela Bayerlova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.04
Winston-Salem Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Francisco Comesanabacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.67
Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Winston-Salem Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$27.69
US Open, Qualification WTA: Dominika Salkova vs Akasha Urhobobacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+135.6%+$188.18
Winston-Salem Open: Jan Choinski vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Mees Rottgering · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$20.43
US Open, Qualification WTA: Carson Branstine vs Clervie Ngounouebacked Clervie Ngounoue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Philadelphia: Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.73
US Open, Qualification WTA: Elina Avanesyan vs Andrea Lazaro Garciabacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$24.4
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Aklibacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$36.78
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$61.69
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heidebacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$19.66
Winston-Salem Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.05
US Open, Qualification ATP: Guy Den Ouden vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.85
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+141%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Patriotsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
NYG vs. MIA: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austin FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$223.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.