TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$262,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$285,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes37c48,473$17,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,489.5449136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No9c45,819$4,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,037.223,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes73c28,151$20,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,627.732,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No32c20,160$6,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,372.938,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c14,262$9,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,022.271,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c13,243$6,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,772.695,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes38c11,845$4,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,397.548756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Yes38c8,955$3,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,585.6615045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No40c8,431$3,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,343.7810933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes40c8,425$3,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,035.223733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No34c6,216$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.975240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes54c6,119$3,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,809.7150643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No63c5,985$3,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,770.765358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No60c5,731$3,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.081,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked No63c5,503$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,464.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes50c5,493$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.0848547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No62c5,013$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.996553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Yes52c3,973$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.2621638.4%83 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No62c3,800$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.9916160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No63c3,084$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.471,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No63c2,822$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.21,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b46…8438backed Yes37c2,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes79c2,555$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.083920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-70.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c2,122$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.573,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No63c2,098$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.081,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes36c2,087$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.8512737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No64c2,035$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.419841.9%83 W · 115 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes36c2,022$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.8238233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No23c1,774$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.539122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf4…2680backed No64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes68c1,480$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.151369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes63c1,454$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.6125635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked No62c1,437$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.993557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd682…2c16backed No10c1,431$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.151435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes38c1,275$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.671,44237.6%542 W · 900 L+4.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes61c1,210$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.3351945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No33c1,050$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9833152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No64c1,018$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.29244.6%41 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No64c1,013$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.27843.6%34 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No64c999.99$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63711245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No64c986.5$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.362,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No62c900.99$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.5831240.1%125 W · 187 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd806…5131backed No14c875.58$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No63c853$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.395446.3%25 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No25c828.22$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.0160156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No25c823.04$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8695155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No66c806$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.721,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No67c805.69$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.852,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No66c805.06$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.121,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No64c791$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.2442962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No63c752$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.7612755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No62c652.32$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.9678856.3%444 W · 344 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No44c650.82$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.811,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No49c621.2$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.399149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No56c614.51$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.5750656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No64c600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38424053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No54c563.1$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.446449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes63c547.62$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.6299259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30518543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No49c476.31$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.391,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No20c458.49$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8535046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25619559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2566056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No52c373.06$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No64c368$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5222457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No47c339$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7472258.6%423 W · 299 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No63c337.08$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6367337.1%250 W · 423 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes59c296.73$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6329138.1%111 W · 180 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No14c286.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3617251.2%88 W · 84 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No64c285.96$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.825955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No63c284$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.642,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No63c270.41$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3618247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No60c246.11$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.677856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes58c226.04$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed No13c217.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0715364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No63c212$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6828851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f9b…8b23backed No10c201.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-60.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No10c200.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1918631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12824956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12821358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12823056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes40c195$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11719543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x648f…fc85backed Yes37c185.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.172326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed No62c179.62$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3621044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes40c179$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.457540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No54c172.38$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3230847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No64c164.44$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.984658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No64c151.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7533266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc22…9c09backed Yes41c146.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.34560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+61.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No20c145$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4416641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked No64c140.63$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes36c134.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1555250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985b…2c2fbacked Yes38c132.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed No43c130.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.336768.7%46 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed No41c129.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.478760.9%53 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96c4…f7b8backed Yes38c128.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.591233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked No64c125$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.