South American Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-07-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a9a90f4fb97cbfd830f1c18cd9c6afae09f5ab7fd188f95cc9bb8ae29c3597a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 64c | 14,500$9,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,220 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 63c | 14,235$8,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,267.06 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 13,528$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.54 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 37c | 11,300$4,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,142.09 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 37c | 8,500$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 36c | 6,999$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.56 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,283$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.16 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 5c | 4,312$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.82 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 36c | 2,631$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.04 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed No | 64c | 2,081$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.01 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 1,331$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.61 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 1c | 1,047$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 36c | 875.04$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.02 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 36c | 265.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 251.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 25c | 229.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 35c | 225.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 34c | 158.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 36c | 156.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 28c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 146$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 20c | 138$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Yes | 36c | 128.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 37c | 126.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 116.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked Yes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked No | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 36c | 87.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…c33dbacked Yes | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 78c | 69.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…209dbacked No | 66c | 68.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 65c | 60.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 31c | 56.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Yes | 36c | 53.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed No | 64c | 53.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 37c | 46.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…b7aebacked No | 65c | 44.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…f397backed No | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 37c | 38.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 63c | 29.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 39c | 28.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 61c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked No | 65c | 23.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 63c | 20.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked No | 64c | 18.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…ab75backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…b747backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…020cbacked No | 77c | 14.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-07-31?this page
- Will FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.