UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x894bc0f394bc579f8e87cadb54ef39189678763a0d22a13315f871ba830bd066
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chris Padillaof Chris Padilla, Nasrat Haqparast
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $553,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $575,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $553,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Nasrat Haqparast | 49c | 303,064$147,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,556.72 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chris Padilla | 51c | 89,943$45,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,071.9 | 203 | 48.3%98 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chris Padilla | 52c | 87,311$44,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,327.58 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Chris Padilla | 51c | 30,450$15,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,920.5 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Chris Padilla | 51c | 21,137$10,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,424.88 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Nasrat Haqparast | 51c | 20,000$10,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,118.34 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…2e9fbacked Chris Padilla | 52c | 17,000$8,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chris Padilla | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Nasrat Haqparast | 49c | 14,000$6,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,860 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Nasrat Haqparast | 48c | 12,222$5,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,866.56 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Chris Padilla | 51c | 9,700$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…cedebacked Chris Padilla | 59c | 8,718$5,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.4 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Nasrat Haqparast | 33c | 8,000$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.72 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chris Padilla | 52c | 6,688$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.48 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Chris Padilla | 52c | 6,488$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.15 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Nasrat Haqparast | 3c | 5,918$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Chris Padilla | 52c | 5,888$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.24 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Chris Padilla | 52c | 5,700$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Chris Padilla | 51c | 5,622$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.17 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Nasrat Haqparast | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chris Padilla | 51c | 4,707$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.43 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Chris Padilla | 52c | 4,394$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Chris Padilla | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 178 | 51.7%92 W · 86 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Chris Padilla | 62c | 3,984$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.48 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nasrat Haqparast | 6c | 3,878$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.71 | 157 | 36.9%58 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Nasrat Haqparast | 45c | 3,778$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.66 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Chris Padilla | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Nasrat Haqparast | 49c | 3,480$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…fc99backed Chris Padilla | 48c | 3,144$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Chris Padilla | 50c | 3,025$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.49 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Nasrat Haqparast | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Chris Padilla | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.98 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Nasrat Haqparast | 3c | 2,959$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Nasrat Haqparast | 20c | 2,892$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.65 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Chris Padilla | 52c | 2,743$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.74 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Nasrat Haqparast | 30c | 2,651$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Nasrat Haqparast | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.99 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Nasrat Haqparast | 41c | 2,171$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Nasrat Haqparast | 48c | 2,103$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Nasrat Haqparast | 51c | 2,059$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.08 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Chris Padilla | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Chris Padilla | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Chris Padilla | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Chris Padilla | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +129%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…5c3dbacked Chris Padilla | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nasrat Haqparast | 16c | 1,914$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.82 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Chris Padilla | 51c | 1,913$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.18 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Nasrat Haqparast | 3c | 1,851$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Chris Padilla | 53c | 1,844$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Nasrat Haqparast | 22c | 1,764$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.75 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Chris Padilla | 47c | 1,695$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.12 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2750…7e6ebacked Chris Padilla | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Nasrat Haqparast | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Nasrat Haqparast | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.83 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Nasrat Haqparast | 40c | 1,464$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.72 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Chris Padilla | 52c | 1,308$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.69 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Chris Padilla | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nasrat Haqparast | 48c | 1,241$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.49 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb306…2086backed Nasrat Haqparast | 35c | 1,166$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Nasrat Haqparast | 50c | 1,139$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chris Padilla | 51c | 1,121$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.13 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…d4d5backed Chris Padilla | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Chris Padilla | 52c | 1,097$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.56 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Chris Padilla | 51c | 1,040$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.59 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Nasrat Haqparast | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Nasrat Haqparast | 47c | 1,000$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.21 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…c9e8backed Nasrat Haqparast | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Nasrat Haqparast | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Chris Padilla | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…2bafbacked Chris Padilla | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3f…4031backed Nasrat Haqparast | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Chris Padilla | 52c | 924.52$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.77 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Chris Padilla | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Chris Padilla | 60c | 899.98$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.15 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Nasrat Haqparast | 38c | 888.02$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Chris Padilla | 59c | 850$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.24 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chris Padilla | 75c | 845.66$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.62 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Nasrat Haqparast | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c817backed Chris Padilla | 54c | 828.43$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Chris Padilla | 51c | 824$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.76 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Nasrat Haqparast | 40c | 803.66$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.53 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Nasrat Haqparast | 23c | 792.72$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Nasrat Haqparast | 47c | 777.75$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +219.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Chris Padilla | 65c | 765.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.39 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Nasrat Haqparast | 5c | 739.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1b…65d7backed Nasrat Haqparast | 53c | 728.3$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Chris Padilla | 52c | 718.77$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Nasrat Haqparast | 7c | 714.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Chris Padilla | 48c | 709.99$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.2 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…77f5backed Chris Padilla | 63c | 709.14$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.09 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Chris Padilla | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…2e27backed Chris Padilla | 49c | 680$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Nasrat Haqparast | 52c | 670$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.4 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Chris Padilla | 52c | 659.62$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.62 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…0a0dbacked Nasrat Haqparast | 53c | 619.02$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Nasrat Haqparast | 5c | 581.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Chris Padilla | 52c | 566.03$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.69 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Nasrat Haqparast | 46c | 555.52$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.54 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Chris Padilla | 51c | 551.51$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.24 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nasrat Haqparast | 26c | 508$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.08 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Chris Padilla win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Nasrat Haqparast win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.