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Tennis · resolved market

US Open, Qualification ATP: Michael Antonius vs Henry Searle

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michael Antoniusof Michael Antonius, Henry Searle
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,114
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,114 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb399…608ebacked Henry Searle69c24,624$16,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,878.665350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Michael Antonius30c21,158$6,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,736.879,26736.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L-199.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Michael Antonius69c5,035$3,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.651,29556.6%733 W · 562 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Henry Searle6c4,285$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.229897.9%78 W · 911 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Michael Antonius54c3,990$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.468,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Michael Antonius33c3,645$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.8611,87743.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L+19.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Henry Searle28c3,364$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.164,30545%1,939 W · 2,366 L+20.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Henry Searle72c2,042$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.424,40752.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L+66.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Henry Searle69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38037338.6%144 W · 229 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a3…9e12backed Michael Antonius28c1,957$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.264748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Michael Antonius34c1,824$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.6838738.5%149 W · 238 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Michael Antonius28c1,653$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.963,75245.3%1,700 W · 2,052 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Henry Searle72c1,515$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.653,39748.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L-47.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Henry Searle72c1,440$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.81,73348.4%839 W · 894 L+40.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Henry Searle72c1,388$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.361,70950.6%864 W · 845 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6170…f3fdbacked Michael Antonius65c1,231$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.7729362.8%184 W · 109 L+19.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Henry Searle57c1,197$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68533348%160 W · 173 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Henry Searle72c1,006$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.321,44742.8%620 W · 827 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Michael Antonius47c868.41$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.724,64767.7%3,147 W · 1,500 L+308.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Michael Antonius25c834.39$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.791,10449.7%549 W · 555 L+46.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c38…1bfabacked Henry Searle37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005044%22 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Henry Searle68c760.78$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.81,85646.8%868 W · 988 L-55.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Michael Antonius75c683.34$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.871,81546.5%844 W · 971 L-6.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Henry Searle11c649.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7370930.2%214 W · 495 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Michael Antonius79c540$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.11,11257.9%644 W · 468 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3635…053abacked Michael Antonius69c487.42$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.11675%12 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Michael Antonius79c456.02$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.471,85246.6%863 W · 989 L+19.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Henry Searle13c434.65$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.945,07541.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L-83.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca64…4f43backed Henry Searle72c388.89$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806552.3%34 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Michael Antonius39c329.31$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.173,23857.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L+179.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5bc…c93dbacked Henry Searle72c324.99$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.991540%6 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-41.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x68b6…99b4backed Michael Antonius74c251.12$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5915852.5%83 W · 75 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x018e…5c3dbacked Henry Searle73c241.47$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2710753.3%57 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Henry Searle50c238.3$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.131,08154.9%593 W · 488 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Henry Searle14c217.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4548835.2%172 W · 316 L-18.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x841c…142bbacked Michael Antonius69c215.61$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Michael Antonius69c181.16$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.163,95255.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L+107.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Henry Searle8c170$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.654741.7%228 W · 319 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed Michael Antonius36c152.78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7815439%60 W · 94 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Michael Antonius79c151.21$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.52,88247.2%1,360 W · 1,522 L+39.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Michael Antonius29c150$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.543143.6%188 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Michael Antonius45c148.01$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.444,80349.5%2,379 W · 2,424 L+174.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Henry Searle78c140$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.249257.9%285 W · 207 L-14.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Michael Antonius27c133$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0942843.7%187 W · 241 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8c…9a58backed Michael Antonius66c110.92$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Michael Antonius43c107.13$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3540146.4%186 W · 215 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Henry Searle25c105.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5133754.9%185 W · 152 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c9…f4dabacked Henry Searle51c103.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539047.8%43 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a2…deacbacked Michael Antonius75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256075%45 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Henry Searle55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5539553.9%213 W · 182 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cf…e58cbacked Henry Searle55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558757.5%50 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7b…f972backed Michael Antonius51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0414940.9%61 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cb…3bbebacked Henry Searle11c90.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015754.8%86 W · 71 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7734…017dbacked Michael Antonius25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6014859.5%88 W · 60 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x165d…121cbacked Henry Searle38c65.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f7…4f7cbacked Michael Antonius25c61.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.192157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+48.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Henry Searle37c56.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.997851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e0…03c7backed Michael Antonius66c56.39$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Henry Searle52c55.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8928655.2%158 W · 128 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbd7…8dc9backed Michael Antonius29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.724946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Henry Searle36c49.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8411855.9%66 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Michael Antonius66c48.36$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.222,11154.2%1,145 W · 966 L+65.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Michael Antonius61c48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9251658.5%302 W · 214 L+34.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6851…ec54backed Michael Antonius65c48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.812349.6%61 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Michael Antonius66c46.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9782957.2%474 W · 355 L+20.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Henry Searle72c43.6$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.391,09573.6%806 W · 289 L+40.3wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Michael Antonius25c42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.52,58138.7%999 W · 1,582 L+100.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Henry Searle74c40.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.92,07652.9%1,099 W · 977 L+33.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe75…5af2backed Michael Antonius74c39.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4813961.9%86 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Henry Searle43c38.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45,48656.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L+232.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Michael Antonius36c37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.731,25046.2%578 W · 672 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…2ac6backed Michael Antonius69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2314162.4%88 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Michael Antonius49c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8515648.7%76 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Michael Antonius72c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6536456.6%206 W · 158 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Henry Searle73c34.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2546064.3%296 W · 164 L+24.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66ba…6b3cbacked Michael Antonius76c34.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17550.7%38 W · 37 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-18.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ca1…fc25backed Michael Antonius54c33.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6114759.2%87 W · 60 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf98d…384ebacked Michael Antonius42c33.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.67755.8%43 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Henry Searle72c30.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.911,25752%654 W · 603 L+45.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x115f…f51dbacked Henry Searle72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012356.9%70 W · 53 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa678…dd59backed Henry Searle72c27.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9916443.9%72 W · 92 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Henry Searle71c22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.626,89848.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L+61.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Henry Searle72c20.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4626049.2%128 W · 132 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Henry Searle68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61,32464.7%857 W · 467 L+6.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8529…53e3backed Michael Antonius69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Michael Antonius69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.216997%164 W · 5 L+43.7wins+0.26per pick71cpaid+35%equal weight75+0.23 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Michael Antonius57c18.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1140360.8%245 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Henry Searle73c18.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3382262.2%511 W · 311 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Henry Searle75c18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.533064.8%214 W · 116 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Henry Searle75c18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.573045.3%331 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Henry Searle72c16.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1237658%218 W · 158 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Henry Searle72c16.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7688858%515 W · 373 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Henry Searle75c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.255174.5%38 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.