TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$561,825
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$572,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,825 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34dd…fd83backed Over49c415,393$202,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212,790.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under52c206,208$106,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,207.715552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under51c135,013$68,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,867.472231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under51c70,943$36,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,180.7118758.8%110 W · 77 L+12.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under23c31,173$7,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0281936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+58%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over65c13,647$8,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.644,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c9,973$5,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,587.226,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over36c6,039$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,866.3445249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over48c5,288$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.674158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked Over48c5,166$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under66c3,395$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.5481234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Under51c3,300$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68317745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under26c3,158$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Over26c3,090$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.193036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under22c2,381$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.812528%7 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under52c1,939$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under51c1,900$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9699346.2%43 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under18c1,760$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.1695332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over20c1,649$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.397353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under53c1,509$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Over48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7803100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over17c1,490$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.871827.8%5 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Over47c1,474$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.35100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x70ff…f058backed Under73c1,293$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under66c1,260$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.6120040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over38c1,186$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.8157847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over30c1,109$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.781,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Under52c1,035$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under47c1,027$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.791258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+257.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8506225.8%16 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under22c897$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3420059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under78c770.31$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over15c687.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.1335028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd36…6674backed Over79c678.08$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under3c619.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5780%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.243971.8%28 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under66c609.49$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa68d…eab5backed Under53c599.32$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.03728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-50.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Over78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick79cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea53…e1ebbacked Over49c436.73$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over47c410.77$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.711546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over61c402$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5312654%68 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Under36c400.01$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.642326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-57.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under10c399.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.82714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-79%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under46c391.39$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2554132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over77c387.29$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3531648.7%154 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under78c384.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over46c301.9$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.468465.5%55 W · 29 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Over49c299.98$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+52.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over49c295$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.455230.8%16 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over45c266$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5628443.7%124 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over64c252.58$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0127356.4%154 W · 119 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under6c236.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8311049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Over66c221.25$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.447447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over68c218.08$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.477236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68aa…0f92backed Over64c205.64$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Under22c201.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.166740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb18e…8038backed Under70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over15c161.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.45750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6509…2dc5backed Under52c151.32$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over54c150.64$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2113444.8%60 W · 74 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Over56c148.7$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.262268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under75c141.95$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Under21c121$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.89616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Under24c119.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.82060%12 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over29c119.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9472658.7%426 W · 300 L+48.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb3…5fe5backed Under67c117.97$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.262748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Under23c113.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over48c108.31$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4612045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over19c106$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8611217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over17c105.45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5246551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe809…039bbacked Under21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over77c92.08$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.993452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c90.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.671,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d82…244dbacked Under58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over18c88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1620041%82 W · 118 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under23c87.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.082250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over36c84.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.35966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+73.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Over24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aae…7efcbacked Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.63560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Over14c80$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.82259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over26c75.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.762941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Over79c69.62$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.621258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Over56c62.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.14856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over48c59.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.191560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Under52c55.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Over28c54.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+141%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under45c52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.511653.4%62 W · 54 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over33c48.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.111931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under52c47.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.672245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Over49c45.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.11475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.