Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a5bb20a619f3e62407078d8837d7201fc36d81b8a950d181b796566f64ae0bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x620b…2e9fbacked Under | 66c | 7,000$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 34c | 6,044$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.04 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Over | 35c | 2,506$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 65c | 2,158$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.9 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 66c | 1,569$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.54 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 34c | 1,512$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.84 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 763.33$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.23 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 721.77$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.93 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 34c | 648.12$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.76 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 34c | 599.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.99 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 35c | 399.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 20cpaid | +277.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 39c | 319$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.59 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 319$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.59 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…925dbacked Over | 68c | 303.19$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 298.31$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.71 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 35c | 153.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 66c | 149.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Under | 66c | 106.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…dbd6backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 37c | 91.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 36c | 66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 64c | 66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 46c | 56.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 42c | 51.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 63c | 40.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 53c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 66c | 34.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…a398backed Over | 34c | 29.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f4…1ac8backed Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 64c | 22.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.