TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,644
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,644 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c4,608$2,508 inWon+$2,099.676,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6daf…a17cbacked Over56c3,500$1,952 inLost-$1,951.821553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over15c3,234$470 inLost-$470.181,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost-$4507433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4d…e0f2backed Under76c1,000$756 inWon+$243.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over29c950.84$280 inLost-$279.5157833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over24c904$217 inLost-$216.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ddd…8011backed Over15c823.97$123 inLost-$123.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over21c567.92$120 inLost-$119.8314144%62 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under53c505.16$270 inWon+$235.5848950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Over32c505$162 inLost-$161.6633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over47c429.79$202 inLost-$20215347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over33c369.83$120 inLost-$120.26740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over12c325.96$39 inLost-$39.125139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5cb…6303backed Under79c202.53$160 inWon+$42.53540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Over46c195.65$90 inLost-$908229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d30…f8a6backed Over27c85.19$23 inLost-$232740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over38c79.87$31 inLost-$30.6715749.7%78 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under66c56.32$37 inWon+$19.0328456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb81…e68bbacked Over42c47.62$20 inLost-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under63c34$21 inWon+$12.5314253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over46c32.66$15 inLost-$15.028664%55 W · 31 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over37c32$12 inLost-$11.847652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Over32c31.56$10 inLost-$101513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-54%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over45c25.13$11 inLost-$11.317436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.