TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$353,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$376,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Under49c129,186$63,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,3012441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a7…4a1dbacked Over51c75,031$38,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,765.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under47c39,295$18,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,320.0795332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over52c33,969$17,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,304.0918253.8%98 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over51c27,038$13,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,248.6213742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Under43c22,963$9,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,864.441533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over51c18,033$9,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,795.454847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Under47c17,460$8,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,206.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under46c16,226$7,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,464.111758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e9f…0eaebacked Over54c14,100$7,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,486450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over71c10,760$7,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.4281234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under48c6,908$3,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,315.772060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under23c6,395$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.146,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Over56c6,000$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,619.991764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over51c5,586$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.33655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4005100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd2b2…bb8abacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over52c4,551$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.5915470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under15c4,388$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.222443.8%98 W · 126 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over53c4,340$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.812649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under13c4,153$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.842817.9%5 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c4,120$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.675542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over51c3,834$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.667648.7%37 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb487…86d7backed Over51c3,829$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04f8…c9e9backed Over53c3,710$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.08955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under30c3,394$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.51936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+58%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over57c3,350$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.0357847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c3,151$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.5255351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over59c3,059$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.4945249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over55c2,849$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.992,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over54c2,824$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.4121440.7%87 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under18c2,315$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.7877236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.981154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under35c1,939$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.154,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over51c1,373$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.5535028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under46c1,250$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.994736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over54c1,198$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over56c1,186$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.175160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over53c1,113$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.5969651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under47c1,107$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.189735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under12c1,060$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2469742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over55c1,024$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.85750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x387f…970bbacked Over54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4602100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over73c821.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9227955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under40c797.19$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.352231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under19c762.66$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.163036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c655.43$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.8453240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked Over51c647.06$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over53c634.36$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.1580853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under16c623.66$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.454132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Over52c600$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2914841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6779…2ff6backed Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.043458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over74c560.07$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.151,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6428…8188backed Over53c521$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over58c520.27$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.2714949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x026d…47edbacked Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23030149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under15c478.27$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.11,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Over58c435$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.71963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Over51c419.82$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.712948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over56c412.69$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f87…2b4dbacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb511…e800backed Under47c388.09$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.41618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.28per pick47cpaid-55.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over52c345.2$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.714055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8e4c…295abacked Over54c344.44$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+41.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under15c324.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.514349.7%71 W · 72 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under44c310.36$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5615740.1%63 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over55c301.21$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.281,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over64c296.88$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.88520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over51c290.63$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.41966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under24c283$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5612654%68 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1429…1cd8backed Over56c262.5$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Over59c251.98$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.72268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Under25c251.01$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.752326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-57.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over52c249.87$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9421250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over52c244.27$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2511555.7%64 W · 51 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+21.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over53c240.22$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.93339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Over58c232.03$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.454858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over55c228.73$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2632951.4%169 W · 160 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under15c216.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.518465.5%55 W · 29 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb508…8b83backed Under46c200.28$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea76…88ecbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+58.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5c…46c3backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1910343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10f0…9fc0backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd010…2ee6backed Under50c176.87$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over52c171.5$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3219356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over79c168.08$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.057844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Over54c164$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4417544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over76c163$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0612045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over67c154.7$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8672658.7%426 W · 300 L+48.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked Under50c154.58$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.721040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over56c150.3$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8518651.6%96 W · 90 L+13.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under34c148.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.891,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9748…228cbacked Under13c141.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Over54c138.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.892626.9%7 W · 19 L-7.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1fd7…9c01backed Over54c117.1$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.87955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.