TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$354,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$373,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,513 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under25c44,931$11,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,819.672035%7 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under67c33,091$22,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,829.0410042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under61c29,321$17,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,380.351,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c15,064$4,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,397.274,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over50c14,240$7,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,119.3488635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under47c11,173$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,923.561233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c10,434$5,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,305.736,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under58c9,322$5,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,895.141952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over56c9,209$5,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,186.874158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Over74c7,331$5,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,425.2613834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bcd…abb2backed Under69c7,031$4,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.41366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under77c6,674$5,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.593036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Under74c6,514$4,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.423652.8%19 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+269.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked Under78c5,128$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.211758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6003268.8%22 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over69c4,923$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.561,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x461d…db9ebacked Under27c4,666$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,393.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+266.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e43…c36abacked Over6c4,021$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over42c3,899$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.3348950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a42…984abacked Under22c3,845$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,992.62540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+63.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Under39c3,555$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under73c3,499$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.741957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over80c3,432$2,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,745.717162%44 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6876…8dc9backed Over76c3,289$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6daf…a17cbacked Over62c3,235$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.951553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed Under70c2,529$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over79c2,517$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.985856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over32c2,378$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.5211049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over43c2,263$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over80c2,255$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.283482.4%28 W · 6 L+7.1wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+44%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Under69c2,177$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under25c2,083$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.52528%7 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a22…7b00backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d66…331cbacked Under20c2,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Over51c1,906$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.951457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+56.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over22c1,605$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0359247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Over41c1,550$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over35c1,543$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over8c1,505$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8960%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb018…51fbbacked Under20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbf…0bf0backed Under20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fba…fd69backed Under20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick18cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52545936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Over73c1,400$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.011163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over73c1,361$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.998159.3%48 W · 33 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over51c1,360$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.632326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-57.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under67c1,335$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-62.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under78c1,256$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.15714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-81.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.998659.3%51 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Under43c1,244$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed Under59c1,130$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.31060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c1,098$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.343735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under36c939.1$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.551844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd36…6674backed Over76c871.37$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c805.3$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.5357833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over71c774.24$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dee…30b1backed Under36c750$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58af…0b13backed Under20c750$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under70c747.6$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.091643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Over28c696.7$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.68560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over76c692.3$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5261540%6 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over32c635$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.120239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked Over63c634.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+69.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over21c630.61$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.43714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-79%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under71c628.57$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.82366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x829e…339cbacked Under14c627.91$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Over36c627.02$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.733250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under48c626.81$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.94425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea83…e0ccbacked Under48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over57c614.88$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.46740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over25c600$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.472944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over70c578.12$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.842846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-33.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over50c578$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2891540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under65c574.63$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.453650%18 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over39c564.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.351136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over73c554.35$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.036038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006136.1%22 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over49c499.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24515347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under29c492.85$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.69825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Over53c492.45$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Under61c482$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb89…82aabacked Under79c477.44$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.234100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+96.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3169…21b4backed Under76c463.86$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…925dbacked Over66c450.71$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under45c432.96$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.132060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over67c414$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.048648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Over76c405.26$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3081457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under73c403.54$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.927342.5%31 W · 42 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over44c399.43$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.815429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under52c387.01$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.314253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under58c383.32$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.116746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under25c375.16$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.024035%14 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Over10c370$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over76c366.54$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.421435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over53c339.62$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Over49c331.16$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over62c322.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.13672.2%26 W · 10 L+10.9wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+99.7%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over52c317$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.696645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.